ArticleNature communications2026
Historical depletion and future drought-driven risks to Gulf of Mexico fisheries production.
Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
A major depletion of ~42% in total fisheries production occurred in the Gulf of Mexico in the early 1990's but received limited scientific attention. Here, we show that terrestrial drought in the US during the late 1980s, combined with high Gulf menhaden (Brevoortia patronus) fishing pressure, led to a depleted forage base, with cascading effects on other species and fisheries in the Gulf, acting primarily via a reduction in Mississippi River flow. Ecosystem model simulations support these findings, and more importantly, indicate that anticipated frequent and intense drought conditions under the RCP 8.5 scenario in the US are projected to cause periodic depletions of biomass and catches of ~61% by 2050, and ~72% by 2100, substantially more acute than previous estimates for the Gulf. There is an urgent need to explore possible mitigation strategies and the mechanisms by which drought conditions affect the Gulf and other marine ecosystems.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.