Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41663336›Full record

ArticleJournal of inherited metabolic disease2026

The Grey Zone Project: Risk-Based Classification of ABCD1 Variants in X-Linked Adrenoleukodystrophy.

Troy C Lund, Kelly Miettunen, Yorrick R J Jaspers, Caroline Bergner, Joshua L Bonkowsky, Fabio Bruschi, Julie S Cohen, Inge M E Dijkstra, Florian S Eichler, Eric J Mallack and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of inherited metabolic disease, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Troy C LundDepartment of Pediatrics, Pediatric Blood and Marrow Transplantation and Cellular Therapy, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
Kelly MiettunenALD Connect (https://aldconnect.org/), Middleton, Massachusetts, USA.
Yorrick R J JaspersLaboratory Genetic Metabolic Diseases, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Caroline BergnerDepartment of Neurology, University Medical Center, Leipzig, Germany.
Joshua L BonkowskyCenter for Personalized Medicine, Primary Children's Hospital, Division of Pediatric Neurology, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
Fabio BruschiCenter for Diagnosis and Treatment of Leukodystrophies and Genetic Leukoencephalopathies (COALA), Vittore Buzzi Children's Hospital, Milan, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4419-7381
Julie S CohenMoser Center for Leukodystrophies, Kennedy Krieger Institute, Department of Neurology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Inge M E DijkstraLaboratory Genetic Metabolic Diseases, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Florian S EichlerCenter for Rare Neurological Diseases, Department of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Eric J MallackMoser Center for Leukodystrophies, Kennedy Krieger Institute, Department of Neurology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Gajja S SalomonsLaboratory Genetic Metabolic Diseases, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Robert ThompsonCenter for Rare Neurological Diseases, Department of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Davide TondutiCenter for Diagnosis and Treatment of Leukodystrophies and Genetic Leukoencephalopathies (COALA), Vittore Buzzi Children's Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Keith P van HarenDepartment of Neurology and Neurological Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.
Mirjam M C WamelinkLaboratory Genetic Metabolic Diseases, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9382-613X
Ayelet ZeremPediatric Neurology Institute, Dana-Dwek Children's Hospital, Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center, Gray Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Marc EngelenDepartment of Pediatric Neurology, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam Leukodystrophy Center, Amsterdam Neuroscience, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Stephan KempLaboratory Genetic Metabolic Diseases, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2023-064X

Funding

ALD ConnectStichting Metakids 2023-102Virginia B. Toulmin Foundation VBTFDN-07102023 and VBTFDN-10102025
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Newborn screening (NBS) for X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy (ALD) enables early identification of boys at risk for adrenal insufficiency (AI) and cerebral ALD (CALD). However, NBS frequently identifies ABCD1 variants of uncertain significance (VUS), which are associated with only borderline-elevated C26:0-lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC(26:0)) levels. Traditional American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) pathogenicity classification does not account for age-dependent penetrance or the broader phenotypic spectrum, complicating risk assessment and clinical management. Through the Grey Zone Project, we developed a risk-stratification framework using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-based approach prioritizing 95% sensitivity. This framework incorporates biochemical and longitudinal clinical data from 1627 control subjects and 196 confirmed ALD patients. Three pediatric risk categories were defined: "no ALD" (<110 nmol/L LPC(26:0)), "lower-risk AI/CALD" (110-177 nmol/L), and "at-risk AI/CALD" (>177 nmol/L). When applied to 108 samples carrying 51 unique ABCD1 VUSs, 26 variants were reclassified as "no ALD," 15 as "lower-risk AI/CALD," and 10 as "at-risk AI/CALD." The framework reclassifies ABCD1 variants based on biochemical risk profiles, reducing false-positive referrals, avoiding unnecessary MRI surveillance, and alleviating parental anxiety by identifying children who are unlikely to develop childhood-onset disease. Integrating biochemical thresholds with genetic and longitudinal clinical data improves the specificity of NBS without compromising its sensitivity. Providing systematic feedback on false-positive cases to screening laboratories will further refine cut-offs. This framework provides a scalable, evidence-based model for interpreting variants and enabling personalized follow-up in ALD and other disorders with a variable age of onset.

Indexed as

AdrenoleukodystrophyATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily D, Member 1ChildChild, PreschoolHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLysophosphatidylcholinesMaleNeonatal ScreeningRisk AssessmentROC CurveABCD1 protein, humanATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily D, Member 1LysophosphatidylcholinesABCD1 genelysophosphatidylcholinenewborn screeningrisk‐stratificationvariants of uncertain significanceX‐linked adrenoleukodystrophy

Identifiers

PMID41663336
PMCPMC12886174

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.