Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41657109›Full record

ArticleArthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)2026

Performance of the Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Events Calculator in Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Tate M Johnson, Halie Frideres, Punyasha Roul, Joshua F Baker, Brian C Sauer, Grant W Cannon, Isaac D Smith, Gary A Kunkel, Beth I Wallace, Thomas R Porter and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Tate M JohnsonVeterans Affairs (VA) Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, Nebraska.ORCID 0000-0003-0335-4157
Halie FrideresDivision of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha.ORCID 0009-0008-1752-0949
Punyasha RoulDivision of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha.
Joshua F BakerCorporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
Brian C SauerSalt Lake City VA Health Care, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.ORCID 0000-0002-3546-3051
Grant W CannonSalt Lake City VA Health Care, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.ORCID 0000-0001-6640-9173
Isaac D SmithDurham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Gary A KunkelSalt Lake City VA Health Care, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
Beth I WallaceVA Ann Arbor Center for Clinical Management Research, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Thomas R PorterDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha.
Kaveh R BookaniDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha.
Amarnath R AnnapureddyDivision of Rheumatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Ted R MikulsVeterans Affairs (VA) Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, Nebraska.ORCID 0000-0002-0897-2272
Bryant R EnglandVeterans Affairs (VA) Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, Nebraska.ORCID 0000-0002-9649-3588

Funding

Tracking and Evaluation CoreU54GM115458 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA MEDICAL CENTER · PI HOLSTEIN, SARAH A · 2016 to 2025
$42.8M
Inflammatory Responses, Fibrotic Mediators, and Comorbidity Burden as Determinants of Myocardial Dysfunction and Heart Failure in Rheumatoid ArthritisK23AR085189 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA MEDICAL CENTER · PI Tate Johnson · 2025 to 2026
$344k
BLRD VA I01 BX003635BLRD VA I01 BX004660CSRD VA IK2 CX002203CSRD VA IK2 CX002430Duke Center for Research to Advance Healthcare Equity 3U54MD012530-05S2NIAMS NIH HHS K23 AR085189NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM115458Rheumatology Research FoundationRRD VA I01 RX003644U.S. Department of Defense PR200793U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs RX004770
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEvaluate performance of the Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Events (PREVENT) calculator in rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

methodsPatients with RA were matched up to 10 controls on age, sex, and enrollment year using National Veterans Health Administration, Medicare, and National Death Index data (2006-2020). Ten-year estimated cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk was calculated using PREVENT. Calibration (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] and observed/predicted events) and discrimination (sensitivity and Harrel's C-statistics) were compared between RA cases and controls. PREVENT performance was compared with the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) for atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) prediction in RA, including net reclassification index (NRI) calculation.

resultsAmong 30,687 patients with RA and 231,752 patients without RA, 28,061 ASCVD and 13,851 heart failure (HF) outcomes were identified over >2 million person-years. PREVENT underestimated overall CVD (SIR 1.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.79-1.88), ASCVD (SIR 2.25, 95% CI 2.19-2.32) and HF risk (SIR 1.41, 95% CI 1.36-1.46) to a greater degree in RA compared with controls and exhibited poor sensitivity for ASCVD (61.9%) and HF (63.2%) development. PREVENT performance was poorer for ASCVD prediction compared with the PCE (SIR 1.38, 95% CI 1.34-1.41, sensitivity 76.0%). NRI for PREVENT was modest (5.3%). Among 657 reclassified patients who experienced ASCVD, 626 were inappropriately reclassified as low or borderline risk. PREVENT performance significantly improved when including hemoglobin A1c (overall CVD: SIR 1.21, 95% CI 1.18-1.24; ASCVD: SIR 1.45, 95% CI 1.41-1.50; HF: SIR 0.79, 95% CI 0.76-0.82; sensitivity ASCVD 80.3%).

conclusionPREVENT underestimates CVD risk in RA, consistent with suboptimal performance of existing risk calculators. Preferential use of PREVENT including hemoglobin A1c should be considered. Improving CVD risk stratification in RA remains a high priority.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidCardiovascular DiseasesAgedFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHeart FailureHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentUnited States

Identifiers

PMID41657109
PMCPMC13148063

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.