Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41653342›Full record

ArticleDiscover oncology2026

Burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer based on GBD 2021.

Cong Hu, Shuxiong Nong, Yingxie Meng, Rui Deng, Yuan Cheng, Jing Wang, Busheng Luo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Discover oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Cong Hu *Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Dianjiang People's Hospital of Chongqing, Dianjiang County, Chongqing, 408300, China. dr_hucong@126.com.
Shuxiong Nong *Department of Cardiology, Baise People's Hospital, Baise, 533000, Guangxi, China.
Yingxie Meng *Department of Cardiology, Baise People's Hospital, Baise, 533000, Guangxi, China.
Rui DengDepartment of Cardiology, Baise People's Hospital, Baise, 533000, Guangxi, China.
Yuan ChengDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital of Dianjiang County Chongqing, Chongqing, 400016, China. chengyuan_djxzyy@163.com.
Jing WangDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The Second Clinical Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400010, China. congrong2008@163.com.
Busheng LuoDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Dianjiang People's Hospital of Chongqing, Dianjiang County, Chongqing, 408300, China. 534537772@qq.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. This study provides comprehensive estimates of TBL cancer prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with projections to 2040, stratified by gender, age, and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI).

methodsData were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study, analyzing 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021. Age-standardized rates were stratified by gender, age, and SDI. Trends were quantified using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC), and future burden was projected using Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort modeling.

resultsIn 2021, TBL cancer caused 3.25 million (95% uncertainty interval: 2.95–3.56 million) prevalent cases globally, with an age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of 37.3 (33.8–40.8) per 100,000 population. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was 26.4 (23.9–29.1) per 100,000, and the age-standardized death rate (ASMR) was 23.5 (21.2–25.8) per 100,000, accounting for 2.02 million (1.82–2.22 million) deaths. The age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) was 533 (480.1–586.4) per 100,000. East Asia exhibited the highest ASPR (57.1 per 100,000), ASIR (43.4), ASMR (38.5), and ASDR (869.5). The high-middle SDI region showed the highest overall burden, while the low-SDI region had the lowest. Across all metrics, males had consistently higher rates than females, though the gender gap is projected to narrow by 2040.

conclusionTBL cancer remains a substantial global health burden with significant SDI-related and geographic disparities. Targeted public health interventions, particularly in high-burden regions such as East Asia, are urgently needed to address these inequalities.

Indexed as

DALYGBDIncidence ratePrevalenceTracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer

Identifiers

PMID41653342
PMCPMC12979750

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.