Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41650202›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Influence of land-use history and ENSO on the flora of the Southern Line Islands.

Lauren Nerfa, J Michael Fay, Allyson Earl, Alan M Friedlander, Enric Sala, Tamara Ticktin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Lauren NerfaSchool of Life Sciences, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Hawai'i, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6892-4187
J Michael FayNational Geographic Society, Washington, D.C., United States of America.
Allyson EarlUniversity of Hawai'i Cooperative Extension, Hawai'i, United States of America.
Alan M FriedlanderNational Geographic Society, Washington, D.C., United States of America.
Enric SalaNational Geographic Society, Washington, D.C., United States of America.
Tamara TicktinSchool of Life Sciences, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Hawai'i, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Remote tropical islands host unique ecosystems with rare species that have been historically affected by habitat degradation and species introductions, and now by climate change. However, we know little about the current ecological conditions of remote island ecosystems, particularly after the abandonment of commercial land uses. The Southern Line Islands, Kiribati, are among the least studied island groups in the Pacific. These islands have a history of land use, including guano extraction and coconut plantations (1800s to early 1900s), but have no current human uses or habitation. They have been exposed to El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, particularly the strong 2015-2016 event. We studied the vegetation of Flint Island, Millennium Atoll, and Vostok Island to assess vegetation succession since the cessation of land-use, and whether they have been impacted by ENSO. Specifically, we drew on field surveys and satellite images from 2009 and 2021, and assessed changes in floristic characteristics between (i) current and historic surveys; (ii) islands with different land-use histories; and (iii) before and after the 2015-2016 ENSO. We found that extant species richness differed from the historic studies, due in large part to the disappearance of some non-native species on Millennium and Flint, and the emergence of some previously undocumented native species across the islands. Species composition differed across islands; Vostok Island has few species compared to Flint or Millennium due to its diminutive size, and remains dominated by Pisonia forest. There were few differences in plant species frequency and composition for the islands between 2009 and 2021, but normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) values and land-use classification showed some evidence of dry conditions after the 2015-2015 ENSO. We conclude with recommendations for management of non-native species to support regeneration of the native ecosystems of the Southern Line Islands, with implications for other Pacific islands.

Indexed as

El Nino-Southern OscillationPlantsBiodiversityClimate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemIslandsKiribati

Identifiers

PMID41650202
PMCPMC12880752

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.