Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41647910›Full record

ArticleiGIE : innovation, investigation and insights2024

Impact of a machine learning-based prediction model on annual surveillance endoscopy costs for detecting gastric cancer.

Junya Arai, Atsushi Miyawaki, Yoku Hayakawa, Tomonori Aoki, Ryota Niikura, Hiroaki Fujiwara, Tetsuo Ushiku, Masato Kasuga, Mitsuhiro Fujishiro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iGIE : innovation, investigation and insights, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Global trends in artificial intelligence applications for gastric cancer prediction, treatment, and management: a topic modeling and bibliometric analysis.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Junya AraiDivision of Gastroenterology Asahi Life Foundation, Tokyo, Japan.
Atsushi MiyawakiDepartment of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Yoku HayakawaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomonori AokiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Ryota NiikuraDepartment of Endoscopy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Hiroaki FujiwaraDivision of Gastroenterology Asahi Life Foundation, Tokyo, Japan.
Tetsuo UshikuDepartment of Pathology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Masato KasugaThe Institute of Medical Science, Asahi Life Foundation, Tokyo, Japan.
Mitsuhiro FujishiroDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and Aims: In this study, we assessed our machine learning (ML)-based model's impact on reducing annual surveillance endoscopy costs for detecting gastric cancer (GC). Methods: We analyzed 1099 patients with chronic gastritis undergoing annual EGD and randomly divided them into training and test sets (4:1). Using gradient-boosting decision trees and incorporating patient characteristics, we developed the ML model. In the test sets, we compared the EGD number needed to screen (NNS) for 1 GC, cost, and GC detection rate across different risk stratification strategies. Results: The ML-selected high-risk cohort demonstrated low NNS values, low total cost, low cost per 1 GC, and high GC detection rates compared with alternative risk stratification approaches, including operative link for gastric atrophy assessment and operative link for gastric intestinal metaplasia assessment. Conclusions: Our ML model holds promise in reducing endoscopy surveillance costs while maintaining a robust GC detection rate.

Identifiers

PMID41647910
PMCPMC12850736

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.