Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41645158›Full record

ArticleInternational journal for equity in health2026

From individual burden to social risk pooling: drivers of the declining out-of-pocket health expenditure share in China (2009-2024).

Tingting Qiu, Leiyu Shi, Wei Zhou, Jinsong Deng, Gang Sun

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal for equity in health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Tingting QiuDepartment of Health Management, School of Health Management, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Leiyu ShiDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Wei ZhouThe Second Clinical College, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, 510120, China.
Jinsong DengLaboratories & Facilities Management Office, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Gang SunDepartment of Health Management, School of Health Management, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China. sunhoney163@163.com.

Funding

Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province 2022A1515011112Philosophy and Social Sciences Planning Project of Guangdong Province GD23CGL11Research Project of Guangdong Institute of Modern Hospital Management GDXDYGS2025041Special Project on Teaching Reform Research and Practice in International Education of Southern Medical University for the 2024 Academic Year 2024GJG003
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReducing out-of-pocket payments (OOP) is central to equitable health financing. Although China’s OOP share has declined since 2009, it remains high internationally. This study analyzes the drivers of its reduction from 2009 to 2024.

methodsUsing a multivariate time-series model, the OOP share is examined in relation to the share of social health expenditure, per capita GDP (log), aging rate, and urbanization rate. A structural breakpoint was identified using the Chow test and examined through subsample analysis.

resultsAging increased the OOP share (coefficient = 1.094), while urbanization decreased it (coefficient = − 1.081). Social spending share showed no significant effect overall, but its association with OOP share reversed after 2016, becoming significantly positive during deepened reforms.

conclusionsChina’s OOP share reduction results from aging (pressure) versus urbanization (relief). The post-2016 reversal between social spending share and OOP share highlights the phase-dependent nature of financing equity, demanding integrated policy responses.

Indexed as

Financing, PersonalHealth ExpendituresChinaHumansUrbanizationChinaHealth financing equityHealth financing structureOut-of-pocket payments shareTime-series analysis

Identifiers

PMID41645158
PMCPMC12879468

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.