Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41644641›Full record

Trial reportScientific reports2026

A randomized controlled trial of artificial intelligence-based analytics for clinical deterioration.

Jessica Keim-Malpass, Sarah J Ratcliffe, Matthew T Clark, Katy N Krahn, Oliver J Monfredi, Susan Hamil, Gholamreza Yousefvand, Marieke K Jones, Ashley Nelson, Liza P Moorman and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialPragmatic Clinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04359641 (Predictive Monitoring - IMPact in Acute Care Cardiology Trial), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04359641 naactive not recruitingnot on this map

Predictive Monitoring - IMPact in Acute Care Cardiology Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorJamieson Bourque, MDRan2021 to 2028Enrolled10,424ConditionsClinical DeteriorationArmsCoMET Display
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Jessica Keim-MalpassCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA. jlk2t@virginia.edu.
Sarah J RatcliffeDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Biostatistics Division, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Matthew T ClarkNihon Kohden Digital Health Solutions, Irvine, CA, USA.
Katy N KrahnCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Oliver J MonfrediDepartment of Internal Medicine, Cardiovascular Division, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Susan HamilCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Gholamreza YousefvandCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Marieke K JonesDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Biostatistics Division, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Ashley NelsonDepartment of Internal Medicine, Cardiovascular Division, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Liza P MoormanNihon Kohden Digital Health Solutions, Irvine, CA, USA.
J Randall MoormanCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Jamieson M BourqueCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, School of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.

Funding

AHRQ HHS R01HS028803
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This pragmatic randomized controlled trial aimed to assess the effect of a passive display of artificial intelligence (AI)-based predictive analytics on hours free of clinical deterioration events among medical and surgical patients in an acute care cardiology medical-surgical ward. 10,422 inpatient visits were randomly assigned by cluster to the intervention group of a display of risk trajectories or to a control group of usual medical care. The trial was undertaken on an 85-bed inpatient cardiology and cardiac surgery ward of an academic hospital with a substantial implementation and education plan. This was a passive display with no specific response mandated. The primary analysis compared events of clinical deterioration (death, emergent ICU transfer, emergent endotracheal intubation, cardiac arrest, or emergent surgery) and compared mortality 21 days after admission. Patients with a large spike in risk score had, on average, twice the length of hospital stay (6.8 compared to 3.4 days). There was no change in the primary outcome between groups. Among those who had a clinical event, there were more event-free hours in the intervention/display-on group compared to the standard-of-care/display-off, but this did not reach statistical significance. Clinicians chose to transfer 11% of patients into or out of display beds, a censoring event removing them from the analysis, thereby undermining aspects of the randomized nature of the study. Predictive analytics monitoring incorporating continuous cardiorespiratory monitoring and displays of risk trajectories coupled with an education plan did not improve patient outcomes. While necessary to conduct the study, the pragmatic design allowed for significant movement towards intervention/displayed beds for sicker patients. Design considerations in the future must focus on understanding clinicians' interpretation, care processes, and communication practices.Clinical trial registration number: NCT04359641 Registered 4/24/20.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceClinical DeteriorationAgedFemaleHumansLength of StayMaleMiddle AgedArtificial intelligenceClinical deteriorationImplementation of artificial intelligencePredictive analytics monitoringPredictive monitoring

Identifiers

PMID41644641
PMCPMC12923516

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.