Measuring the excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Northern Territory, Australia.

Renu Unnikrishanan, Yuejen Zhao, Christopher Paul Burgess, Peter Gregory Markey, Ramakrishna Chondur, Jerry Chen, Vicki Krause

Abstract read

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In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it

0cells of the map it votes in

0citing papers in PubMed

–field-weighted citation impact

1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Renu Unnikrishananhttps://ror.org/01537wn74Department of Health, Northern Territory, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0000-6392-4399

Yuejen Zhaohttps://ror.org/01537wn74Department of Health, Northern Territory, Australia.

Christopher Paul Burgesshttps://ror.org/01537wn74Department of Health, Northern Territory, Australia.

Peter Gregory Markeyhttps://ror.org/01537wn74Department of Health, Northern Territory, Australia.

Ramakrishna Chondurhttps://ror.org/01537wn74Department of Health, Northern Territory, Australia.

Jerry Chenhttps://ror.org/01537wn74Centre for Disease Control, Northern Territory, Australia.

Vicki Krausehttps://ror.org/01537wn74Centre for Disease Control, Northern Territory, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to assess whether there was any excess mortality among the Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal populations in the Northern Territory (NT), Australia, during the COVID-19 pandemic. A time-series analysis using death data (1997-2023) was applied separately to the monthly and yearly death counts to develop an excess mortality surveillance model (using Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)) for the NT population. Excess mortality was calculated by comparing expected deaths with actual deaths. In 2022, there was a statistically significant excess mortality of 193 (

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsHumansNorthern TerritorySARS-CoV-2Aboriginal populationARIMA modelCOVID-19excess mortalitynon-Aboriginal populationNorthern Territory

Identifiers

PMID41644306

DOI10.1017/S0950268826101046

PMCPMC12951332

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.