Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41644140›Full record

ArticleThorax2026

Incidence and prevalence of obstructive sleep apnoea and narcolepsy in the UK: a population-based descriptive study.

Helen Strongman, Martina Sykorova, Yi Ting Nikki Yu, Aurélien Belot, Hema Mistry, Ellen Nolte, Sofia Helena Eriksson, Michelle A Miller, Krishnan Bhaskaran, Ian Edward Smith and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Thorax, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Helen StrongmanFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK helen.strongman@lshtm.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8739-4601
Martina SykorovaFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2579-5888
Yi Ting Nikki YuLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4859-7881
Aurélien BelotFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1410-5172
Hema MistryWarwick Medical School, Coventry, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5023-1160
Ellen NolteFaculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2289-117X
Sofia Helena ErikssonNational Hospital for Neurology and Neurosurgery, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2904-1442
Michelle A MillerWarwick Medical School, Coventry, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6696-0923
Krishnan BhaskaranFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5364-8757
Ian Edward SmithRespiratory Support and Sleep Centre, Royal Papworth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2896-3402
Charlotte Warren-GashFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4524-3180

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundObstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) and narcolepsy are estimated to affect approximately 4.8% and 0.047% of the UK population, respectively. We do not know how many people have been diagnosed or how this varies over time and by demographic factors.

methodsWe, therefore, conducted a historical population-based descriptive study estimating prevalence and incidence of diagnosed OSA and narcolepsy in England from 2000 to 2019 stratified by demographic factors, and compared estimates to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. Data were from Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) primary care records linked to Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) admissions. The study population included people with ≥90 days follow-up between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2019, no prior record of primary or central sleep apnoea, and aged ≥18 years (OSA only). Diagnoses were defined using the first coded record for each condition in CPRD or HES data. Annual prevalence was estimated at mid-year and directly age/sex-standardised to the national population. Incidence was estimated by dividing new diagnoses by total person-time at risk.

resultsIn England, 2019 adult standardised diagnosed OSA prevalence was 1.40% (95% CI 1.40% to 1.41%) representing approximately 622 528 people; standardised narcolepsy prevalence was 0.020% (95% CI 0.019% to 0.021%) representing approximately 11 307 people. Despite increases over time, diagnosed incidence and prevalence remained substantially lower than published estimates of symptomatic frequency. Rates varied by age, sex, ethnicity and UK nation for both conditions, and urban-rural living, area-based deprivation and practice size for OSA.

conclusionOur results call for high-quality research to drive initiatives that increase diagnosis rates and address variation.

Indexed as

NarcolepsySleep Apnea, ObstructiveAdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceUnited KingdomYoung AdultSleepSleep apnoea

Identifiers

PMID41644140
PMCPMC13479645

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.