Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41641370›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2026

Sex-stratified early biomarker model identifies lactate as the key predictor of in-hospital deterioration in acute heart failure.

Mohammadreza Akbarian Khorasgani, Pouriya Katouzi, Melika Khalifeh Hadi, Linsong Leng, Aliasgar Taha Burhanpurwala, Xiangjuan Liu

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Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mohammadreza Akbarian KhorasganiDepartment of Cardiology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Pouriya KatouziDepartment of Cardiology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Melika Khalifeh HadiDepartment of Cardiology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Linsong LengDepartment of Cardiology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Aliasgar Taha BurhanpurwalaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Hospital, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
Xiangjuan LiuDepartment of Cardiology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Early identification of patients at risk for deterioration during hospitalization for acute heart failure (AHF) is essential for guiding intensive monitoring and advanced therapies. Biomarkers such as NT-proBNP and troponin I are routinely used, yet their comparative prognostic performance-particularly when stratified by sex-remains uncertain. Other emerging biomarkers, including lactate and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), have also been linked to adverse outcomes, but their value relative to established cardiac markers has not been clearly defined. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using de-identified electronic medical records from 2010 to March 2025 at a tertiary care center. Patients aged ≥16 years with clinician-documented AHF and available admission biomarkers were eligible. The primary endpoint was a composite of in-hospital death, mechanical ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), or intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP). Broad and strict endpoints were examined in sensitivity analyses. Multivariable logistic regression models, sex-stratified analyses, and penalized regressions with bootstrap resampling were performed. Results: Among 143 eligible patients (81 men, 62 women), the primary endpoint occurred in 46.9%. In our cohort, women experienced a slightly higher crude rate of in-hospital deterioration compared with men (48.4% vs. 45.7%). Lactate was the most robust predictor across all models, with an odds ratio of 9.38 (95% CI 2.47-35.63; Conclusions: In this single-center AHF cohort, lactate emerged as the most consistent early biomarker associated with in-hospital deterioration, with stronger prognostic performance than the other evaluated cardiac markers. Sex-stratified and phenotype-specific findings (NT-proBNP and lactate in men, NLR in non-HFrEF) were exploratory and did not show significant sex-biomarker interaction. These results support incorporating lactate into early risk stratification and highlight the need for larger multicenter validation studies.

Indexed as

acute heart failurebiomarkersdeteriorationlactateneutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratioNT-ProBNPsex differencestroponin I

Identifiers

PMID41641370
PMCPMC12864415

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