Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41639625›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2026

Cigarette smoking and SARS-CoV-2 infection: multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization analyses in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study.

Ida Henriette Caspersen, Álvaro Hernáez, Sebastián Peña, Ahmed Nabil Shaaban, Maria Christine Magnus, Sakari Karvonen, Maria Rosaria Galanti, Per Magnus

Abstract read
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Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ida Henriette CaspersenCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Skøyen, Postbox 222, Oslo, N-0213, Norway. ida.henriette.caspersen@fhi.no.
Álvaro HernáezCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Skøyen, Postbox 222, Oslo, N-0213, Norway.
Sebastián PeñaDepartment of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Postbox 30, Helsinki, 00271, Finland.
Ahmed Nabil ShaabanDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, SE-171 77, Sweden.
Maria Christine MagnusCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Skøyen, Postbox 222, Oslo, N-0213, Norway.
Sakari KarvonenDepartment of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Postbox 30, Helsinki, 00271, Finland.
Maria Rosaria GalantiDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, SE-171 77, Sweden.
Per MagnusCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Skøyen, Postbox 222, Oslo, N-0213, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEvidence of whether smoking affects the risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection is mixed. We aimed to clarify the inconsistencies in previous findings and whether the association is potentially causal using different Mendelian randomization (MR) methods.

methodsWe examined associations between smoking traits (initiation, cessation, and intensity) and SARS-CoV-2 infection in multivariable logistic regression, and one-sample and two-sample MR analyses. The study included n = 47,506 female and n = 28,229 male study subjects from the Norwegian Mother, Father, and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) with questionnaire data and genotype information. SARS-CoV-2 infection status was obtained by data linkage to the national health registry MSIS.

resultsWe found no clear evidence of an association between smoking initiation and SARS-CoV-2 infection (multivariable regression: OR 1.08, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.20, one-sample multivariable MR analysis: OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.09, two-sample MR: OR 1.10 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.13). Also, we found no clear evidence of an association with smoking intensity (multivariable regression: OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.96, one-sample multivariable MR: OR 1.04, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.42, two-sample MR: OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.09, per 1 SD increase in number of cigarettes per day). Nor was there any association with smoking cessation. These findings did not change after accounting for educational level, BMI or risk-taking behavior in multivariable MR analyses.

conclusionsWe did not find robust evidence of causal associations between smoking and SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our investigation of potential violations to MR assumptions highlights the limitations of this approach to examine infection risk associated with smoking.

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingCOVID-19AdultChildCohort StudiesFathersFemaleHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMiddle AgedMothersMultivariate AnalysisNorwayRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-2COVID-19MoBaSARS-CoV-2The Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study

Identifiers

PMID41639625
PMCPMC12964713

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.