Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41631857›Full record

ArticleEcology2026

Modeling stratified dispersal in forest pests: A case study of the mountain pine beetle in Alberta.

Evan C Johnson, Micah Brush, Mark A Lewis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Evan C JohnsonMathematical and Statistical Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6352-2584
Micah BrushDepartment of Biology, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3664-6327
Mark A LewisDepartment of Biology, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

Funding

Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada 568176fRI Research U22004Genome Alberta L20TFGenome Canada 18202
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Forest pests pose critical threats to forest ecosystems worldwide, yet accurately predicting their spatial spread remains challenging due to complex dispersal behaviors, weather effects, and the inherent difficulty of tracking small organisms across large landscapes. These challenges have resulted in divergent estimates of typical dispersal distances across studies. Here, we use high-quality data from helicopter and field-crew surveys to parameterize dispersal kernels for the mountain pine beetle, a destructive pest that has recently expanded its range into Alberta, Canada. We find that fat-tailed kernels-those which allow for a small number of long-distance dispersal events-consistently provide the best fit to these data. Specifically, the radially symmetric Student's t-distribution with parameters

Indexed as

Animal DistributionColeopteraForestsModels, BiologicalAlbertaAnimalsPinusbark beetleblack swanDendroctonus ponderosaedispersal kerneldispersal modelfat‐tailed distributionforest pestinvasive specieslong‐distance dispersalrange expansion

Identifiers

PMID41631857
PMCPMC12866754

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.