Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41626932›Full record

ArticleResearch synthesis methods2025

Exploring the potential of Claude 2 for risk of bias assessment: Using a large language model to assess randomized controlled trials with RoB 2.

Angelika Eisele-Metzger, Judith-Lisa Lieberum, Markus Toews, Waldemar Siemens, Felix Heilmeyer, Christian Haverkamp, Daniel Boehringer, Joerg J Meerpohl

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Research synthesis methods, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Angelika Eisele-MetzgerInstitute for Evidence in Medicine, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Judith-Lisa LieberumEye Center, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Markus ToewsInstitute for Evidence in Medicine, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Waldemar SiemensInstitute for Evidence in Medicine, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Felix HeilmeyerInstitute for Digitalization in Medicine, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Christian HaverkampInstitute for Digitalization in Medicine, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Daniel BoehringerEye Center, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Joerg J MeerpohlInstitute for Evidence in Medicine, Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Systematic reviews are essential for evidence-based health care, but conducting them is time- and resource-consuming. To date, efforts have been made to accelerate and (semi-)automate various steps of systematic reviews through the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and the emergence of large language models (LLMs) promises further opportunities. One crucial but complex task within systematic review conduct is assessing the risk of bias (RoB) of included studies. Therefore, the aim of this study was to test the LLM Claude 2 for RoB assessment of 100 randomized controlled trials, published in English language from 2013 onwards, using the revised Cochrane risk of bias tool ('RoB 2'; involving judgements for five specific domains and an overall judgement). We assessed the agreement of RoB judgements by Claude with human judgements published in Cochrane reviews. The observed agreement between Claude and Cochrane authors ranged from 41% for the overall judgement to 71% for domain 4 ('outcome measurement'). Cohen's κ was lowest for domain 5 ('selective reporting'; 0.10 (95% confidence interval (CI): -0.10-0.31)) and highest for domain 3 ('missing data'; 0.31 (95% CI: 0.10-0.52)), indicating slight to fair agreement. Fair agreement was found for the overall judgement (Cohen's κ: 0.22 (95% CI: 0.06-0.38)). Sensitivity analyses using alternative prompting techniques or the more recent version Claude 3 did not result in substantial changes. Currently, Claude's RoB 2 judgements cannot replace human RoB assessment. However, the potential of LLMs to support RoB assessment should be further explored.

Indexed as

Large Language ModelsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicBiasEvidence-Based MedicineHumansReproducibility of ResultsResearch DesignRisk AssessmentSystematic Reviews as Topicartificial intelligenceautomationGPTlarge language modelsrisk of biassystematic review as topic

Identifiers

PMID41626932
PMCPMC12527486

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.