Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41624082›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2025

Trends over 48 years in a one-number index of survival for all cancers combined, England and Wales (1971-2018): a population-based registry study.

Michel P Coleman, Melissa Matz, Pamela Minicozzi, Veronica Di Carlo, Dyfed Huws, Stephanie Smits, Jon Shelton, Claudia Allemani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Michel P ColemanCancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Melissa MatzCancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Pamela MinicozziCancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Veronica Di CarloCancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Dyfed HuwsWelsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, 2 Capital Quarter, Tyndall Street, Cardiff, CF10 4BZ, UK.
Stephanie SmitsWelsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, 2 Capital Quarter, Tyndall Street, Cardiff, CF10 4BZ, UK.
Jon SheltonHead of Cancer Intelligence, Cancer Research UK, 2 Redman Place, London, E20 1JQ, UK.
Claudia AllemaniCancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Trends in cancer survival are a key indicator of progress in the effectiveness of the health system in managing cancer. We aimed to provide long-term trends in a one-number index of survival for all cancers combined, to support national cancer policy. Methods: We examined long-term trends in a one-number index of net survival (Cancer Survival Index) for all cancers combined in adults in England and Wales. Net survival includes all cancer patients, regardless of whether cancer was the cause of their death. We estimated net survival up to 10 years after diagnosis for 10,769,854 adults diagnosed with a first, primary, invasive cancer during 1971-2018 and followed up to 2019, using anonymised individual records from the National Disease Registration Service for England and the Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit. We examined trends in the Cancer Survival Index (CSI) at one, five, seven and 10 years after diagnosis, using the entire data set. We present results for selected periods: 1971-72, 1980-81, 1990-91, 2000-01, 2005-06, 2010-11 and 2018. Findings: During the 48 years 1971-2018, the CSI for England and Wales rose substantially, at all intervals up to 10 years after diagnosis. For patients diagnosed in 1971-72, the CSI was 46.5% at 1 year after diagnosis. For patients diagnosed in 2018, the index is 49.8% at 10 years after diagnosis. The CSI has remained about 10% higher for women than men since the early 1970s. The speed of improvement has slowed down: between 2000-01 and 2005-06, the 10-year CSI rose by 4.0%. Ten years later, the increase between 2010-11 and 2015-16 was only 1.4%. Interpretation: The slow-down since 2010 of long-term trends in the CSI for all cancers combined in England and Wales is likely to be at least partly explained by longer waits for diagnosis and treatment. A long-term national cancer plan to bring cancer survival trends back towards the best in the world is essential. Funding: Cancer Research UK.

Indexed as

Cancer Survival IndexEnglandTrendsWales

Identifiers

PMID41624082
PMCPMC12859600

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.