Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41619193›Full record

Trial reportBritish journal of clinical pharmacology2026

Main factors associated with variability in the assessment of the objective response rate. A re-analysis of the PHEREXA phase 3 clinical trial.

Gennaro Daniele, Tommaso Giovagnoli, Pierluigi Navarra, Cinzia Dello Russo

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in British journal of clinical pharmacology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01026142 (A Multicenter Randomized Phase III Study to Compare the Combination Trastuzumab and Capecitabine, With or Without Pertuzumab, in Patients With HER2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer That Have Progressed After One Line of Trastuzumab-Based Therapy in the Metastatic Setting), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01026142 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicenter Randomized Phase III Study to Compare the Combination Trastuzumab and Capecitabine, With or Without Pertuzumab, in Patients With HER2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer That Have Progressed After One Line of Trastuzumab-Based Therapy in the Metastatic Setting (PHEREXA)

TypeinterventionalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2010 to 2017Enrolled452ConditionsBreast CancerArmsCapecitabine, Pertuzumab, Trastuzumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Gennaro DanielePhase 1 Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5360-1895
Tommaso GiovagnoliPhase 1 Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
Pierluigi NavarraDepartment of Translational Medicine and Surgery, Section of Pharmacology, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Università Cattolica Del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4424-650X
Cinzia Dello RussoDepartment of Translational Medicine and Surgery, Section of Pharmacology, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Università Cattolica Del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2538-3832

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimLocal investigators (LIs) overestimate the objective response rate (ORR) in comparison to Blinded Independent Central Reviewers (BICR) in oncology. In this study, we re-analysed data obtained in the PHEREXA trial (NCT01026142) with the following aims: i) to confirm at the single-patient level the discrepancy observed by analysing aggregated data; ii) to investigate the causes underlying such discrepancy.

methodsIndividual data, available on the VIVLI platform, were analysed. For each patient, the best response was established for LIs and BICR. "Eligible" patients were those with at least one target lesion at screening. The degree of agreement was assessed through the Cohen's Kappa coefficient. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to understand the reasons underlying the discrepancy.

resultsEligible subjects were 364/452 according to LIs and 371/450 per BICR. We confirmed that LIs overestimate the ORR. We found moderate agreement between the two evaluations (Cohen's κ= 0.48, p < 0.001). The probability of discrepancy increased by 20% with the increasing number of target lesions evaluated. Selection of 8-10 lesions was associated with an increased risk of discrepancy (OR, 5.27; CI 95% = 1.21-24.92; p < 0.03). The evaluation of breast, lung and lymph nodes (only) significantly increased the probability of discrepancy in comparison to the analysis of lymph nodes + organ.

conclusionThe overestimation of the tumour response by LIs increases with the number of target lesions analysed as well as with specific evaluation sites. Thus, the adoption of the two evaluations appears necessary in uncontrolled trials to provide a better estimate of tumour response.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsFemaleHumansObserver VariationSecondary Data AnalysisTreatment OutcomeBICRblinded independent central reviewinter‐reader variabilitylocal investigatorsobjective response rateRECIST

Identifiers

PMID41619193
PMCPMC13206187

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.