Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41618402›Full record

ArticleJournal of translational medicine2026

Machine learning-based clinical prediction model and multi-omics integration for assessing pancreatic cancer risk in new-onset diabetes.

Jiabin Yang, Bingxin Cao, Anwaier Yuemaierabola, Yanyu Gong, Yusheng Guo, Haoming Zhong, Kailu Zhang, Sichen Wang, Qiaozhi Huang, Jiaqing Li and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of translational medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Jiabin Yang *Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China.
Bingxin Cao *Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China.
Anwaier Yuemaierabola *Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China.
Yanyu Gong *Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China.
Yusheng GuoDepartment of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P. R. China.
Haoming ZhongDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China.
Kailu ZhangDepartment of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P. R. China.
Sichen WangDepartment of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P. R. China.
Qiaozhi HuangDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China.
Jiaqing LiSchool of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Tao YeSchool of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Jianwei LuoSchool of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Yu ZhouDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China. zhouyu@gdph.org.cn.
Rufu ChenDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, 106 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, P. R. China. chenrufu@smu.edu.cn.ORCID 0009-0001-9442-6883

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2023YFC2413401National Natural Science Foundation of China 82372858,82072639Precision Diagnosis and Treatment Center for Liver, Gallbladder, and Pancreas Diseases Project of Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, China KY012023453Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou, China 2024B01J1379
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGiven that pancreatic cancer (PC) is typically diagnosed at an advanced stage but is often preceded by new-onset diabetes mellitus (NODM), providing a window for early detection, we sought to develop and validate an interpretable machine-learning model integrated with multi-omics profiling to identify early biomarkers of NODM-associated PC.

methodsIn a population-based cohort, individuals with NODM-associated PC and NODM without PC were identified and randomly divided (70:30) into training and validation sets after feature selection. Eight machine learning (ML) classifiers were compared using fivefold cross-validation, and model performance was evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and decision curve–based clinical utility. We evaluated interpretability using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analyses. Mechanistically, Olink proteomic profiling and metabolomics were analyzed through clinical classifications and model-defined risk strata.

resultsCategorical boosting achieved the best performance in the independent validation set (AUROC = 0.844). The NODM cohort was stratified into high- (n = 2,362) and low-risk (n = 5,030) groups, and internal validation together with SHAP analyses demonstrated consistent model performance and identified clinically interpretable predictors. Proteomic and metabolomic analyses under clinical and risk-based grouping identified 39 overlapping differentially expressed proteins and 145 overlapping metabolites with enriched across 11 shared KEGG pathways. Cross-platform validation highlighted PLTP, CRTAC1, and ITGAV as serum biomarkers with a strong potential for early NODM-PC detection.

conclusionsWe developed an interpretable ML framework centered on NODM enables practical risk stratification for early PC detection by multi-omics and provides a pathway of ML-based triage followed by biomarker confirmation for earlier detection and diagnosis.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusMachine LearningMultiomicsPancreatic NeoplasmsClassification AlgorithmsData AnalyticsFemaleHumansMaleMetabolomicsMiddle AgedPredictive Learning ModelsProteomicsReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsEarly screeningMachine-learningMulti-omicsNew-onset diabetes mellitusPancreatic cancer

Identifiers

PMID41618402
PMCPMC12930919

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.