Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41617395›Full record

Trial reportJournal for immunotherapy of cancer2026

Partitioned overall survival: comprehensive analysis of survival states over 4 years in CheckMate 9ER comparing first-line nivolumab plus cabozantinib versus sunitinib in advanced renal cell carcinoma.

Hollis Viray, Charlene M Mantia, Opeyemi A Jegede, Michael B Atkins, Lisa Rosenblatt, Toni K Choueiri, David F McDermott, Meredith M Regan

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialComparative Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal for immunotherapy of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03141177 (A Phase 3, Randomized, Open-Label Study of Nivolumab Combined With Cabozantinib Versus Sunitinib in Participants With Previously Untreated Advanced or Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03141177 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase 3, Randomized, Open-Label Study of Nivolumab Combined With Cabozantinib Versus Sunitinib in Participants With Previously Untreated Advanced or Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorBristol-Myers SquibbRan2017 to 2026Enrolled701ConditionsRenal Cell CarcinomaArmsNivolumab, Cabozantinib, Sunitinib, Ipilimumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hollis VirayBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Charlene M MantiaHarvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7672-3131
Opeyemi A JegedeDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Michael B AtkinsGeorgetown University Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3901-9924
Lisa RosenblattBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Toni K ChoueiriHarvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9201-3217
David F McDermottBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA mregan@jimmy.harvard.edu dmcdermo@bidmc.harvard.edu.
Meredith M ReganHarvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA mregan@jimmy.harvard.edu dmcdermo@bidmc.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2428-6109

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based regimens can be associated with prolonged survival and disease control after treatment discontinuation without further anticancer therapy. An integrated, comprehensive partitioned survival analysis describes how patients spend overall survival (OS) time both on/off treatment and with/without toxicity. Previous analysis of first-line (1L) nivolumab+ipilimumab for advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC) in CheckMate 214 showed treatment-free survival (TFS; time between 1L and second-line (2L) therapies) was twice as long versus sunitinib. TFS and survival states for ICI plus vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitor are of interest.

methodsIn CheckMate 9ER, 651 randomized patients with aRCC received 1L nivolumab+cabozantinib or sunitinib. Minimum follow-up was 4 years. We partitioned area under the Kaplan-Meier OS curve into three survival states defined from randomization: time on 1L protocol therapy, TFS, and survival after 2L subsequent systemic therapy initiation. TFS and protocol therapy were subdivided into mean times with/without grade 2+ treatment-related adverse events. Areas under and between Kaplan-Meier curves were estimated by 48-month restricted mean times to event. Bootstrapped 95% CIs for between-group differences are reported.

resultsAt 4 years post-randomization, Kaplan-Meier OS estimates were 49.2% versus 40.2% with nivolumab+cabozantinib and sunitinib, respectively; 17.6% versus 4.7% of patients were in TFS; 15.8% versus 8.2% remained on 1L protocol therapy. The 48-month mean time on protocol therapy for nivolumab+cabozantinib versus sunitinib was 22.6 and 14.1 months; 48-month mean TFS was 7.0 and 4.6 months (difference, 2.4 (95% CI 0.8 to 3.9)); 48-month mean survival after 2L therapy initiation was 5.5 and 12.0 months, respectively. The nivolumab+cabozantinib group spent 8.5 (95% CI 6.2 to 10.8) months more mean survival time on 1L protocol therapy, whereas the sunitinib group had 6.5 (95% CI 4.4 to 8.6) months more mean survival time after 2L therapy initiation. Both treatment groups spent at least half of TFS with grade 2+toxicity, resulting in a difference in mean TFS without toxicity of 0.7 (95% CI -0.4 to 1.8) months.

conclusionsPartitioned survival analysis over 4 years after initiation of 1L therapy for aRCC indicated that longer OS with nivolumab+cabozantinib versus sunitinib involved more time on 1L therapy and in TFS, and less survival time after 2L therapy initiation. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03141177.

Indexed as

AnilidesAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCarcinoma, Renal CellKidney NeoplasmsNivolumabPyridinesSunitinibAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedAnilidescabozantinibNivolumabPyridinesSunitinibImmune Checkpoint InhibitorKidney Cancer

Identifiers

PMID41617395
PMCPMC12863367

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.