Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41611465›Full record

ArticleLupus science & medicine2026

Trajectories of long-term eGFR and proteinuria in lupus nephritis: a real-world biopsy-proven cohort study.

Wei Ning, Peng-Wu Liang, Tong-Tao Cao, Zhao-Han Wen, Yu Liu, Ke-Er Wang, Xin-Hang Luo, Ruo-Wen Su, Yuan-Yuan Qi, Zhan-Zheng Zhao

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Article in Lupus science & medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Wei NingDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.ORCID 0009-0001-4866-5672
Peng-Wu LiangDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Tong-Tao CaoDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Zhao-Han WenDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Yu LiuDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Ke-Er WangDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Xin-Hang LuoDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Ruo-Wen SuDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Yuan-Yuan QiDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China qqyyiillyy@126.com zhanzhengzhao@zzu.edu.cn.
Zhan-Zheng ZhaoDepartment of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China qqyyiillyy@126.com zhanzhengzhao@zzu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe long-term trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and their relation to early proteinuria trajectories in biopsy-proven lupus nephritis (LN) are unclear. We aimed to identify eGFR trajectories and examine their association with 24-hour urine protein (24hUP) trajectories.

methodsIn this retrospective single-centre cohort, 215 adults with class III/IV (±V) LN were followed from the date of their initial renal biopsy. eGFR and 24hUP trajectories were modelled using latent class trajectory models, and associations with clinical and pathologic features were assessed. Multinomial logistic regression was used to identify baseline predictors of trajectory membership.

resultsThree eGFR trajectories were identified: stable (87.9%), late-decline (7.0%) and persistent-decline (5.1%). Persistent-decline patients had a higher chronicity index (p<0.01) and baseline serum creatinine (p=0.03), and a higher chronicity index independently predicted persistent-decline (OR 1.64; 95% CI 1.24 to 2.18). The late-decline group had higher baseline eGFR (p=0.03) and more frequent proteinuric flares (91% vs 25% for stable, p<0.01). Three 24hUP trajectories were identified: low-decreasing (81.5%), high-decreasing (11.4%) and high-increasing (7.1%). eGFR late/persistent-decline trajectories were associated with high-decreasing/increasing 24hUP trajectories (p<0.001). Notably, 48% of patients with declining eGFR achieved complete proteinuria response within 12 months, and 38% met criteria for complete renal response, despite long-term eGFR deterioration.

conclusionDistinct long-term trajectories of eGFR and proteinuria exist in LN. Short-term responses in eGFR and proteinuria may not reliably predict long-term renal outcomes, highlighting the need for more robust biomarkers to improve risk stratification and management in LN.

Indexed as

Glomerular Filtration RateKidneyLupus NephritisProteinuriaAdultBiopsyCohort StudiesCreatinineDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesCreatinineAutoimmune DiseasesLupus NephritisSystemic Lupus Erythematosus

Identifiers

PMID41611465
PMCPMC12863332

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