Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41606340›Full record

ArticleNature2026

Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa.

Tasmin L Symons, Alexander Moran, Ann Balzarolo, Camilo Vargas, Mairi Robertson, Jailos Lubinda, Adam Saddler, Michael McPhail, Joseph Harris, Jennifer Rozier and 16 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  7. Review
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  11. Review
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  14. Public health consequences of global climate change. A narrative review.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Tasmin L SymonsSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Bentley, Western Australia, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-2565-701X
Alexander MoranThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9241-2250
Ann BalzaroloThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.
Camilo VargasMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Mairi RobertsonThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0009-0001-3879-9159
Jailos LubindaMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9570-9036
Adam SaddlerMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Michael McPhailMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Joseph HarrisMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Jennifer RozierMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Annie BrowneMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Punam AmratiaMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
Amelia Bertozzi-VillaInstitute for Disease Modelling, Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1616-0028
Samir BhattDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0891-4611
Ewan CameronSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Bentley, Western Australia, Australia.
Nick GoldingMalaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Nedlands, Western Australia, Australia.
David L SmithInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4367-3849
Abdisalan M NoorHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Susan F RumishaSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Bentley, Western Australia, Australia.
Matthew D PalmerMet Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7422-198X
Daniel J WeissSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Bentley, Western Australia, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6175-5648
Naomi DesaiThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.
David PotereThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.
Nicholas SukitschThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.
Wendy WoodsThe Boston Consulting Group (BCG Inc.), Boston, MA, USA.
Peter W GethingSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Bentley, Western Australia, Australia. peter.gething@thekids.org.au.ORCID 0000-0001-6759-5449

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The implications of climate change for malaria eradication this century remain poorly resolved

Indexed as

Climate ChangeMalariaAfricaAnimalsExtreme WeatherForecastingHumansSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID41606340
PMCPMC12979204

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.