Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41605798›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2026

Cash transfers do not increase traumatic injury and mortality: evidence from Alaska.

Ruby Steedle, Robert E M Pickett, Tasce Bongiovanni, Hailie Dono, Byungkyu Lee, Erica Hobby, Anne Zink, Sarah K Cowan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ruby SteedleCash Transfer Lab, New York University, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0009-0002-1918-9707
Robert E M PickettCash Transfer Lab, New York University, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-3811-417X
Tasce BongiovanniDepartment of Surgery, University of California San Francisco School of Medicine, San Francisco, CA  United States.ORCID 0000-0003-4568-2087
Hailie DonoCash Transfer Lab, New York University, New York, NY, United States.
Byungkyu LeeDepartment of Sociology, New York University, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0248-3088
Erica HobbyCash Transfer Lab, New York University, New York, NY, United States.
Anne ZinkDepartment of Health, State of Alaska, Anchorage, United States.ORCID 0009-0003-6682-0124
Sarah K CowanCash Transfer Lab, New York University, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-2838-079X

Funding

the Alaska Department of Health, Division of Public Health, Health Analytics and Vital Records Sectionthe Alaska Department of Health, Trauma Division,
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Direct cash transfers are an increasingly common tool to alleviate poverty, but critics argue that recipients will use this cash in irresponsible and potentially dangerous ways. To investigate the impact of cash payments on traumatic injury and death, we turn to Alaska's long-standing statewide cash transfer, the Permanent Fund Dividend. Nearly every Alaskan receives a substantial amount of money (average $1500 per person) on a single day in the fall of each year. Using interrupted time series analyses paired with 2009-2019 data on all traumatic injuries (n = 36 556) seen at Alaska hospitals from the state's trauma registry and all deaths (n = 43 170) from vital records, we examine whether the payment causes an increase in traumatic injury and mortality in the days following disbursement. Despite commonly held fears, we find no such increases in our data across multiple specifications. These results provide no evidence to suggest that direct cash payments increase the risk of injury or death.

Indexed as

PovertyWounds and InjuriesAlaskaHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisAlaskacash transferstraumatic injury

Identifiers

PMID41605798
PMCPMC13149014

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.