Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41595234›Full record

ReviewCancers2026

The Efficacy of Electronic Health Record-Based Artificial Intelligence Models for Early Detection of Pancreatic Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

George G Makiev, Igor V Samoylenko, Valeria V Nazarova, Zahra R Magomedova, Alexey A Tryakin, Tigran G Gevorkyan

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Cancers, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

George G MakievPredictive Modeling Department, Research Center for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology, Ministry of Health of Russia, 24 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow 115522, Russia.ORCID 0000-0001-9732-4033
Igor V SamoylenkoPredictive Modeling Department, Research Center for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology, Ministry of Health of Russia, 24 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow 115522, Russia.ORCID 0000-0001-7150-5071
Valeria V NazarovaPredictive Modeling Department, Research Center for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology, Ministry of Health of Russia, 24 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow 115522, Russia.ORCID 0000-0003-0532-6061
Zahra R MagomedovaPredictive Modeling Department, Research Center for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology, Ministry of Health of Russia, 24 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow 115522, Russia.ORCID 0009-0006-9145-0905
Alexey A TryakinDepartment of Medical Oncology for Gastrointestinal Tumors, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology, Ministry of Health of Russia, 24 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow 115522, Russia.ORCID 0000-0003-2245-214X
Tigran G GevorkyanPredictive Modeling Department, Research Center for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology, Ministry of Health of Russia, 24 Kashirskoe Shosse, Moscow 115522, Russia.ORCID 0009-0008-3486-302X

Funding

"Development of predictive models based on artificial intelligence for early detection of oncological diseases based on multimodal medical and socio-demographic data with the formation of proposals for subsequent optimization of national screening program 124052700085-6
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe persistently low 5-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer (PC) underscores the critical need for early detection. However, population-wide screening remains impractical. Artificial Intelligence (AI) models using electronic health record (EHR) data offer a promising avenue for pre-symptomatic risk stratification.

objectiveTo systematically review and meta-analyze the performance of AI models for PC prediction based exclusively on structured EHR data.

methodsWe systematically searched PubMed, MedRxiv, BioRxiv, and Google Scholar (2010-2025). Inclusion criteria encompassed studies using EHR-derived data (excluding imaging/genomics), applying AI for PC prediction, reporting AUC, and including a non-cancer cohort. Two reviewers independently extracted data. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed for AUC, sensitivity (Se), and specificity (Sp) using R software version 4.5.1. Heterogeneity was assessed using I

resultsOf 946 screened records, 19 studies met the inclusion criteria. The pooled AUC across all models was 0.785 (95% CI: 0.759-0.810), indicating good overall discriminatory ability. Neural Network (NN) models demonstrated a statistically significantly higher pooled AUC (0.826) compared to Logistic Regression (LogReg, 0.799), Random Forests (RF, 0.762), and XGBoost (XGB, 0.779) (all

conclusionsAI models using EHR data show significant promise for early PC detection, with NNs achieving the highest pooled AUC. However, high heterogeneity and typically low PPV highlight the need for standardized methodologies and a targeted risk-stratification approach rather than general population screening. Future prospective validation and integration into clinical decision-support systems are essential.

Indexed as

artificial intelligenceearly detectionelectronic health recordsmachine learningpancreatic cancer

Identifiers

PMID41595234
PMCPMC12838961

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.