Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41593080›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Safeguarding climate-resilient mangroves requires only a moderate increase in the global protected area.

Alvise Dabalà, Christopher J Brown, Tom Van der Stocken, Christina A Buelow, David S Schoeman, Daniel C Dunn, Catherine E Lovelock, Farid Dahdouh-Guebas, Jason Flower, Sandra Neubert and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Alvise DabalàSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. a.dabala@uq.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0001-7567-1181
Christopher J BrownInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Taroona, Tasmania, Australia.
Tom Van der StockenEcology, Evolution & Genetics (bDIV) research group, Biology Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, VUB, Pleinlaan, Brussel, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-1820-9123
Christina A BuelowThriving Oceans Research Hub, School of Geosciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3084-2554
David S SchoemanOcean Futures Research Cluster, School of Science and Engineering, University of the Sunshine Coast, Maroochydore, Qld, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1258-0885
Daniel C DunnSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8932-0681
Catherine E LovelockSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2219-6855
Farid Dahdouh-GuebasEcology, Evolution & Genetics (bDIV) research group, Biology Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, VUB, Pleinlaan, Brussel, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-5906-8996
Jason FlowerMarine Science Institute, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6731-8182
Sandra NeubertSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3112-4116
Kristine Camille V BuenafeSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1643-5557
Jason D EverettSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6681-8054
Kris Jypson T EsturasSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0009-0004-7222-8490
Anthony J RichardsonSchool of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9289-7366

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change and anthropogenic activities threaten biodiversity and ecosystem services. Climate-smart conservation plans address these challenges by ensuring protection of some climate-resilient areas. However, integrating climate change in the design of conservation plans is often deemed too expensive, as it may require larger networks or protecting more costly sites from a conservation perspective. Using mangroves as a case study, we evaluate the efficiency of protecting mangroves in climate-smart versus climate-naïve reserve networks. We find that climate-smart conservation plans could provide sizable benefits (13.3%) for relatively moderate increases in protected area (+7.3%). Moreover, transboundary plans, involving cooperation among countries, require less area and protect more climate-resilient mangroves than nation-by-nation plans. Implementing these strategies would improve the current protected area network for mangroves, which currently has poor climate resilience. Our methodology could potentially be tested on other ecosystems, assuming sufficient information exists regarding their distribution, biodiversity, and resilience to climate change.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesRhizophoraceaeWetlandsBiodiversityEcosystem

Identifiers

PMID41593080
PMCPMC12949150

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.