Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41592833›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2026

Prognostic factors for mortality in patients infected with New World hantaviruses: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Fernando Tortosa, Martín Alberto Ragusa, Ignacio Neumann, Fernando Perre, German Guaresti, Manuel Donato, Ariel Izcovich

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Andes Virus: From Transmission Dynamics to Pandemic Potential.European journal of clinical investigation · 2026
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Fernando TortosaSchool of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Rio Negro, Rio Negro, Argentina fgtortosa@unrn.edu.ar.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0303-6055
Martín Alberto RagusaInternal Medicine, Hospital General de Agudos Juan A Fernandez, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Ignacio NeumannDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8406-6880
Fernando PerreSchool of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Rio Negro, Rio Negro, Argentina.
German GuarestiSchool of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Rio Negro, Rio Negro, Argentina.
Manuel DonatoCenter for Health Technology Assessment, Access, and Innovation (CETSAI), ISALUD University, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Ariel IzcovichInternal Medicine, Hospital Alemán de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9053-4396

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionOne of the challenges in managing patients with hantavirus infection is accurately identifying individuals who are at risk of developing severe disease. Prompt identification of these patients can facilitate critical decisions, such as early referral to an intensive care unit. The identified prognostic factors could be of utility in guiding medical care to enhance the management of hantavirus infection.

objectiveTo identify and evaluate prognostic factors associated with mortality in hantavirus infection.

methodsWe conducted a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-reported systematic review following Cochrane guidance adapted for prognosis. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Biblioteca Virtual de Saúde or Lilac and EMBASE, from 1 January 1993 to 2 October 2025. We included studies evaluating individual prognostic factors or risk assessment models of New World hantavirus infections, with no restrictions on study design, publication status or language. When feasible, we conducted meta-analyses for prognostic factors using the inverse variance-based method with random effect model. We assessed the certainty of the evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach.

resultsWe included 25 studies with a total of 7284 participants. We identified the following prognostic factors for which we found moderate to high certainty that are associated with increased mortality: age over 18 years, female sex, rural residence, elevated creatinine levels, increased haematocrit, signs of bleeding and the presence of infiltrates on chest radiographs. DISCUSSION: Our systematic review identified prognostic factors for mortality in patients with New World hantavirus infection. These factors can inform clinicians in making more informed management decisions. Furthermore, our findings lay the groundwork for the future development of a clinical prognostic model, potentially enhancing patient care and outcomes. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021225823.

Indexed as

Hantavirus InfectionsHumansOrthohantavirusPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsINFECTIOUS DISEASESINTENSIVE & CRITICAL CAREINTERNAL MEDICINE

Identifiers

PMID41592833
PMCPMC12853536

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.