Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41584734›Full record

ArticleEndoscopy international open2026

Which patients with palliative malignant biliary obstruction will benefit most from biliary drainage: Development and validation of a prognostic score.

Raphael Olivier, Estelle Antoine, Marie Morvan, Augustin D'Aubigny, Jean Baptiste Nousbaum, Noemie Reboux, Enrique Perez Cuadrado Robles, Lucille Queneherve

Abstract read
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Article in Endoscopy international open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Raphael OlivierHepato-Gastroenterology, CHU Poitiers, Poitiers, France.
Estelle AntoineHepato-Gastroenterology, CHU Poitiers, Poitiers, France.
Marie MorvanHepato-Gastroenterology, CHRU de Brest, Brest, France.
Augustin D'AubignyHepato-Gastroenterologie, Centre Hospitalier de Cornouaille, Quimper, France.
Jean Baptiste NousbaumHepato-Gastroenterology, CHRU de Brest, Brest, France.
Noemie RebouxHepato-Gastroenterology, CHRU de Brest, Brest, France.
Enrique Perez Cuadrado RoblesHôpital Européen Georges Pompidou, Paris, France.
Lucille QueneherveHepato-Gastroenterology, CHRU de Brest, Brest, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and study aims: Biliary drainage is performed in palliative malignant biliary obstruction (MBO) to improve patient quality of life and enable chemotherapy. This study aimed to create and validate a prognostic score after biliary drainage in patients with palliative MBO. Patients and methods: Patients undergoing endoscopic or percutaneous drainage for palliative MBO were included in a multicenter, retrospective study. Probability factors associated with 30-day mortality were evaluated by univariable and multivariable logistic regression in the derivation cohort and a prognostic score was built and evaluated in an independent validation cohort. Results: The derivation cohort included 262 patients, 55% male, 61% of whom had pancreatic adenocarcinoma, mean age 72 years. Probability factors associated with 30-day mortality identified in the derivation cohort were World Health Organization performance status of 3-4 (odds ratio [OR] 7.7 [2.57-25.0] ; +3 points), liver metastases (OR 2.7 [1.06-6.98] ; +1 point), other metastases (OR 3.85 [1.57-9.97] ; +2 points), leukocytes >12G/l (OR 2.4 [0.94-6.08]; +1 point), total bilirubin > 10.8 mg/dL (OR 4.3 [1.45-15.20] ; +2 points) and creatininemia > 5.0 mg/dL (OR 7.3 [2.89-19.86]; +3 points). The multivariable model showed good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.80-0.93). The prognostic score was used to define two groups of patients, with a low (0-4 points) or high-probability (> 4 points) of 30-day mortality (3% and 32%, respectively). The AUROC in the validation cohort (192 patients) was 0.72, with 30-day mortality of 7% in the low- probability group and 22% in the high- probability group ( Conclusions: This score could be used in routine clinical practice to identify patients who have better survival outcomes after biliary drainage in palliative MBO.

Indexed as

ERC topicsMRCP topicsPancreatobiliary (ERCP/PTCD)PTCD/PTCS

Identifiers

PMID41584734
PMCPMC12828974

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.