ArticleJournal of epidemiology2026
Comparison of Influenza Epidemic Trends Based on a Large-scale Claims Database and National Infectious Disease Surveillance in Japan.
Article in Journal of epidemiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundSeasonal influenza is a recurrent respiratory infection, and timely detection is essential for public health. In Japan, surveillance is conducted through sentinel medical institutions under the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases (NESID). Recently, access to large claims databases, such as the JMDC claims database (JMDCdb), has increased. While both are sample-based systems, JMDCdb covers a much larger population. We aimed to assess consistency between these sources in estimating influenza cases and the effective reproduction number (R
methodsWe analyzed data from week 36 of 2016 to week 35 of 2019. Influenza cases were estimated from NESID (reported cases and cases per sentinel) and JMDCdb (cases with influenza-related diagnoses and antiviral prescriptions). Daily infection counts were derived to estimate R
resultsAlthough minor differences appeared at epidemic peaks, estimates from NESID reports aligned well with JMDCdb. Estimates based on cases per sentinel were lower. R
conclusionClaims data, such as those from JMDCdb, may be useful for retrospective examination of influenza trends. Moreover, a detailed analysis of the number of cases reported per sentinel suggested the potential to propose threshold values that enable earlier prediction of epidemics than conventional criteria.
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