Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41570858›Full record

SynthesisBone & joint open2026

Evaluating methodological quality of prognostic prediction models on patient-reported outcome measurements after total hip and total knee arthroplasty : a systematic review.

Jia Ye Lin, Pragadesh Natarajan, Victor King Liu, Deanne E Jenkin, Wei-Ju Chang, Justine Naylor, Sam Adie

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Bone & joint open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jia Ye LinSt. George and Sutherland Centre for Clinical Orthopaedic Research (SCORe), Kogarah, Australia.
Pragadesh NatarajanSchool of Clinical Medicine, UNSW Medicine & Health, St. George & Sutherland Clinical Campuses, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Victor King LiuSchool of Clinical Medicine, UNSW Medicine & Health, St. George & Sutherland Clinical Campuses, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Deanne E JenkinSt. George and Sutherland Centre for Clinical Orthopaedic Research (SCORe), Kogarah, Australia.
Wei-Ju ChangCentre for Pain IMPACT, Neuroscience Research Australia (NeuRA), Randwick, Australia.
Justine NaylorSchool of Clinical Medicine, UNSW Medicine & Health, South Western Sydney Clinical School, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Sam AdieSt. George and Sutherland Centre for Clinical Orthopaedic Research (SCORe), Kogarah, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aims: Predictive modelling studies are increasingly popular, but the reporting quality in developing and validating these models remains suboptimal. This review aimed to evaluate the methodological quality of predictive models for patient-reported outcomes following total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA), identifying gaps in reporting and biases. Methods: The review followed PRISMA guidelines, appraising studies that developed and/or validated multivariate predictive models. Methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) tool, and reporting quality was evaluated using Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines. An electronic search was conducted across MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL up to 29 May 2025 and several studies from expert recommendation. Studies involving adults (aged ≥ 18 years) undergoing elective primary or revision THA or TKA were included, while univariate analyses and literature reviews were excluded. Results: The search identified 6,194 results, with 3,793 unique articles. A total of 58 studies were screened, and 41 were included. TRIPOD compliance ranged from 58% to 68%. Overall, 98% of studies had a low risk of bias in participant selection, but 83% showed a high risk of bias in analysis. Applicability concerns were low in 93% of studies. Conclusion: The review reveals significant methodological limitations in predictive models for THA and TKA outcomes, especially in analysis. Improving adherence to reporting guidelines is essential for enhancing transparency and reliability, ultimately supporting better clinical decision-making and patient outcomes.

Identifiers

PMID41570858
PMCPMC12826832

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.