Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41570026›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Shifting epidemiological patterns and strain replacement of hand, foot, and mouth disease in southern China, 2009-2022: A longitudinal study.

Yanan Hou, Huafeng Chen, Yi Jiang, Hao Huang, Zhenlian Tan, Eric J Nehl, Hai Li, Jiangshan Wang, Jinda He, Chen Zhong and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Yanan HouDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Huafeng ChenInstitute of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Yi JiangBureau of Disease Control and Prevention, Wuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Hao HuangDivision of Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Wuzhou City Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Wuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Zhenlian TanDivision of Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Wuzhou City Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Wuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Eric J NehlDepartment of Behavioral Sciences and Health Education, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GeorgiaUnited States of America.
Hai LiDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Jiangshan WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Jinda HeDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Chen ZhongDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Yuqi WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Jian XiaoGuangxi Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine for Treating High-Incidence Infectious Diseases with Integrative Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Minmei ChenInstitute of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Nanning, Guangxi, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5898-7771
Zhigang ZhengDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Management, Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8627-1263

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina launched a universal campaign of monovalent-inactivated EV-A71 vaccine in 2016. However, the monovalent-inactivated vaccine is ineffective against HFMD with other etiologies. To date, little is known about the epidemiological patterns and the replacement of the predominant pathogens that induce HFMD after the universal vaccination campaign.

methodsUsing HFMD surveillance and VP1 sequencing data in pre- and post-vaccination periods, time series analysis, and Wavelet approaches, we identified pathogen replacement, changes in the viral spectrum and epidemiological patterns of HFMD.

resultsA prolonged but lower peak of HFMD occurred in the spring, and a late, higher peak presented during fall in the post-vaccination period. The typical half-year transmission cycle disappeared, the one-year cycle did not change, and the CVA16 and CVA6 serotypes have the potential to replace EV-A71 as the predominant strains.

conclusionsThe epidemic pattern of HFMD has shifted after the vaccination campaign. While the EV-A71 vaccine reduced transmission in the spring season, it had little impact on reducing cases in fall. Meanwhile, potential new predominant strains have emerged. Public health system should incorporate enhanced surveillance by including whole genome sequencing to ensure close monitoring of serotype replacement and to assess the need for multivalent vaccines across Southern China.

Indexed as

Enterovirus A, HumanHand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseImmunization ProgramsMass VaccinationViral VaccinesChildChild, PreschoolChinaEnterovirus InfectionsFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLongitudinal StudiesMaleSeasonsViral Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID41570026
PMCPMC12826469

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.