Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41566882›Full record

ArticleClinical pharmacology and therapeutics2026

Population Pharmacokinetic and Exposure-Efficacy Analysis of Baloxavir Marboxil for Influenza Treatment and Post-Exposure Prophylaxis in Children.

Sylvie Retout, Stefan De Buck, Jacques Gaudreault, Sébastien Jolivet, Vincent Duval, Valérie Cosson, Marie-Laure Delporte

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03629184 (A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Active), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03629184 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Active (Oseltamivir)-Controlled Study to Assess the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Efficacy of Baloxavir Marboxil in Otherwise Healthy Pediatric Patients 1 to <12 Years of Age With Influenza-Like Symptoms

TypeinterventionalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2018 to 2019Enrolled173ConditionsInfluenzaArmsBaloxavir Marboxil, Oseltamivir
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sylvie RetoutPharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Pharma Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-4867-8438
Stefan De BuckPharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Pharma Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Jacques GaudreaultJJG Pharma Consulting, GmbH, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0009-0000-6391-131X
Sébastien JolivetPharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Pharma Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Vincent DuvalCertara, Quantitative Science Services, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0009-0008-0138-7258
Valérie CossonPharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Pharma Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0009-0007-7133-498X
Marie-Laure DelportePharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Pharma Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0009-0006-6293-3385

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Baloxavir acid (baloxavir), the active metabolite of the prodrug baloxavir marboxil, is a selective inhibitor of the influenza virus cap-dependent endonuclease. The population pharmacokinetic (popPK) profile of baloxavir in adults/adolescents has been described previously. To characterize the PK of baloxavir in patients aged ≥1 year, a popPK model was developed using data from 1,795 patients across six studies, including miniSTONE-2 (NCT03629184) in which children aged 1 to <12 years received a bodyweight-based single oral dose of baloxavir marboxil (2 mg/kg, <20 kg; 40 mg, ≥20 kg) for treatment of influenza. The final popPK model was a 2-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination processes and an absorption lag time; the most influential covariates affecting baloxavir exposure were bodyweight and race (Asian versus non-Asian). Pediatric-to-adult exposure matching for PK parameters relevant for treatment and post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) indications were used to support pediatric label extensions. Adequate exposure matching was demonstrated between non-Asian pediatric patients using the miniSTONE-2 dose and non-Asian adult patients. After dosing optimization, predicted baloxavir exposures in Asian pediatric patients using the miniSTONE-2 dose were similar to exposures in Asian adults. To bridge PEP efficacy data from the BLOCKSTONE study in Japanese pediatric patients (JapicCTI-184,180) to non-Asian patients aged ≥1 year, an exposure-matching approach between Japanese pediatric patients receiving the lower BLOCKSTONE dose and non-Asian pediatric patients receiving the miniSTONE-2 dose was employed. Together, these observations indicate that the recommended miniSTONE-2 dosing regimen is likely to be efficacious for treatment and PEP in children aged 1-<12 years, regardless of race.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsDibenzothiepinsInfluenza, HumanModels, BiologicalMorpholinesOxazinesPyridinesPyridonesThiepinsTriazinesAdolescentAdultAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolFemaleAntiviral AgentsbaloxavirDibenzothiepinsMorpholinesOxazinesPyridinesPyridonesThiepinsTriazines

Identifiers

PMID41566882
PMCPMC12997496

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.