Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41565689›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Impact and cost-effectiveness of doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis in Australian men who have sex with men.

Hao Lai, Jason J Ong, Michael W Traeger, Christopher K Fairley, Benjamin P Howden, Mark A Stoové, Mingwang Shen, Lei Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hao LaiChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, PR China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0277-9364
Jason J OngMelbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5784-7403
Michael W TraegerBurnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3452-350X
Christopher K FairleyMelbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Benjamin P HowdenMicrobiological Diagnostic Unit Public Health Laboratory, The University of Melbourne at The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0237-1473
Mark A StoovéBurnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Mingwang ShenChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, PR China. mingwangshen521@xjtu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-800X
Lei ZhangChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, PR China. lei.zhang1@monash.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2343-084X

Funding

Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China (Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology) 2022YFC2304900, 2022YFC2304905National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 12171387
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The optimal implementation of doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis (doxy-PEP) for preventing bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among Australian men who have sex with men is unclear due to concerns about antimicrobial resistance and cost-effectiveness. We developed an individual-based model, calibrated to Australian national data, to compare five targeted doxy-PEP strategies with a base case from 2025 to 2034, using a multi-criteria ranking framework to evaluate their epidemiological, resistance, and economic outcomes. All evaluated strategies reduced STIs by 13.0% to 47.8% and were cost-saving. However, compared to the high 73.5% baseline projection for high-level tetracycline resistance by 2034, all strategies yielded higher proportions. This proportion was highest (97.4%) when targeting all HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis users, and lowest (81.2%) for the syphilis diagnosis strategy. This syphilis-focused strategy reduced overall STIs by 16.4%, had the highest benefit-cost ratio (9.2), and ranked highest in 9 of 11 evaluation frameworks. Here, we show that doxy-PEP is an effective, cost-saving intervention, with the syphilis diagnosis strategy representing the most recommended approach to optimally balance benefits and risks.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsCost-Benefit AnalysisDoxycyclineHomosexuality, MalePost-Exposure ProphylaxisSexually Transmitted Diseases, BacterialAdultAustraliaCost-Effectiveness AnalysisHIV InfectionsHumansMaleSyphilisAnti-Bacterial AgentsDoxycycline

Identifiers

PMID41565689
PMCPMC12921014

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.