Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41564028›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2026

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and typhoid conjugate vaccine introduction on typhoid fever in Nepal.

Dipesh Tamrakar, Shiva Ram Naga, Esther Jung, Basudha Shrestha, Pratibha Bista Roka, Rabin Pokharel, Sabin Bikram Shahi, Aarjya Tara Bajracharya, Surendra K Mahadup, Nishan Katuwal and 9 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Dipesh TamrakarCenter for Infectious Disease Research and Surveillance, Dhulikhel Hospital Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Shiva Ram NagaCenter for Infectious Disease Research and Surveillance, Dhulikhel Hospital Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Esther JungDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5073-8749
Basudha ShresthaMicrobiology Unit, Department of Pathology, Kathmandu Model Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Pratibha Bista RokaDepartment of Pathology, Bir Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Rabin PokharelHelping Hands Community Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Sabin Bikram ShahiCenter for Infectious Disease Research and Surveillance, Dhulikhel Hospital Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Aarjya Tara BajracharyaCenter for Infectious Disease Research and Surveillance, Dhulikhel Hospital Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Surendra K MahadupDepartment of Microbiology, Kathmandu University School of Medical Sciences, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Nishan KatuwalCenter for Infectious Disease Research and Surveillance, Dhulikhel Hospital Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Kate DoyleSabin Vaccine Institute, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Jessica C SeidmanSabin Vaccine Institute, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Alice S CarterSabin Vaccine Institute, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Stephen P LubyDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.
Isaac I BogochDivisions of Infectious Diseases and General Internal Medicine, Toronto General Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kristen AiemjoyDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health Sciences, University of California Davis School of Medicine, Sacramento, California, United States of America.
Denise O GarrettSabin Vaccine Institute, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Rajeev ShresthaCenter for Infectious Disease Research and Surveillance, Dhulikhel Hospital Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Jason R AndrewsDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5967-251X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile typhoid conjugate vaccines (TCV) offer promise for reducing risk in endemic settings, their population-level impact remains unclear. In 2022, Nepal introduced TCV nationally on the heels of the COVID-19 pandemic, which disrupted healthcare services, surveillance, and potentially typhoid transmission dynamics, complicating vaccine impact evaluation. We investigated the impact of TCV introduction amid shifting typhoid burden during the pandemic.

methodsWe analyzed blood culture data from four Kathmandu Valley health facilities, comparing culture positivity for Salmonella Typhi across three periods: pre-pandemic (January 2018-March 2020); pandemic, pre-vaccine introduction (April 2020-March 2022); post-vaccine introduction (April 2022-April 2024). We used multivariable logistic regression to assess S. Typhi positivity, adjusting for month and site, stratified by TCV-eligible children and older, TCV-ineligible populations.

resultsBetween January 2018 and April 2024, 62,236 blood cultures were performed. S. Typhi blood culture positivity decreased from 2.11% pre-pandemic to 0.59% during the pandemic (p < 0.001) and remained low at 0.69% after TCV introduction. Among TCV-eligible children (15 months to 15 years), odds of S. Typhi positivity during the pandemic were 47% lower than the pre-COVID period (aOR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29-0.90) and continued to decrease by 75% post-TCV introduction (aOR 0.25, 95% CI 0.11-0.55). In contrast, among vaccine-ineligible individuals (≥16 years), odds of positivity during the pandemic were 77% lower than the pre-COVID period (aOR 0.23, 95% CI 0.16-0.31) but increased by 59% following TCV rollout (aOR 1.59, 95% CI 1.14-2.27). Sensitivity analyses restricted to pathogen-positive cultures yielded similar results.

conclusionS. Typhi blood culture positivity declined sharply during the pandemic before TCV introduction. The subsequent rollout of TCV substantially reduced typhoid burden in vaccine-eligible children; however, rising cases among older, vaccine-ineligible populations following the relaxation of pandemic measures highlights the need for additional control measures such as improved water and sanitation infrastructure and broader age eligibility for typhoid vaccination.

Indexed as

COVID-19Typhoid FeverTyphoid-Paratyphoid VaccinesAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleNepalPandemicsSalmonella typhiVaccines, ConjugateTyphoid-Paratyphoid VaccinesVaccines, Conjugate

Identifiers

PMID41564028
PMCPMC12851488

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.