Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41561640›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2026

Incidence rates of twelve chronic diseases/conditions in US adults: findings from a population-based study.

Richard L Nahin, Termeh Feinberg, Hanna Grol-Prokopczyk, Flavia P Kapos, Kerri Murray, Remle Scott, Anna Zajacova

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Richard L NahinNational Center for Complementary and Integrative Health, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Termeh FeinbergKelly Government Solutions, Rockville, MD, USA.
Hanna Grol-ProkopczykUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY, USA.
Flavia P KaposDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery & Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, USA.
Kerri MurrayTrustaff, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Remle ScottThe Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine in support of the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Anna ZajacovaUniversity of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.

Funding

The Demography of Chronic Pain: A Population Approach to Pain Trends, Pain Disparities, and Pain-Related Disability and DeathR01AG065351 · NIA · STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO · PI GROL-PROKOPCZYK, HANNA · 2020 to 2024
$1.5M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065351
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: There are no contemporary studies simultaneously examining the incidence of multiple chronic diseases/conditions in US adults. We estimated one-year incidence rates for 12 chronic diseases/conditions with high public burden. Methods: Data were from the nationally representative National Health Interview Survey 2019-2020 Longitudinal Cohort (N = 10,415). We assessed incidence rates for anxiety, arthritis, asthma, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic pain, coronary heart disease (CHD), depression, diabetes, high cholesterol, hypertension, and obesity. We calculated overall and sex-specific age-standardized incidence rates per 1000 person-years (PY) and examined associations with baseline age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, insurance, and smoking status. Findings: In the sample, 51.7% ([95% CI: 50.3-53.1]; N = 5624, representing 129.7 million adults) were female, 20.5% ([95% CI: 20-22.2]; N = 3405, representing 21.1 million adults) were aged 65+ years, 63.2% ([95% CI: 60.9-65.4]; N = 7495, representing 158.5 million adults) were Non-Hispanic White, 16.5% ([95% CI: 14.7-18.4]; N = 1153, representing 41.5 million adults) were Hispanic/Latino, 28.8% ([95% CI: 27.4-30.2]; N = 4228, representing 72.3 million adults) graduated college, and 72.4 ([95% CI: 70.8-73.9]; N = 7287, representing 167.0 million adults) had private health insurance. One-year incidence rates were lowest for diabetes, COPD and CHD: 13.8/1000 PY (95% CI: 10.8-16.8), 14.4/1000 PY (95% CI: 11.8-17.0), and 14.7/1000 PY (95% CI: 12.7-17.0), respectively. The highest rates were observed for high cholesterol and chronic pain, 85.7/1000 PY (95% CI: 79.4-91.9) and 85.3/1000 PY (95% CI: 78.7-92.0), respectively, while all other rates were between these extremes. Females had higher rates of anxiety (69.6 [95% CI: 60.5-75.7] vs 36.4 [95% CI: 29.8-43.1]) and depression (63.7 [95% CI: 55.1-72.3] vs 34.5 [95% CI: 28.4-40.7]), while males had higher rates of hypertension (77.3 [95% CI: 72.3-82.3] vs 56.5 [95% CI: 48.7-64.3]). Incidence-related risk factors differed across diseases/conditions, with age the most consistent predictor. Interpretation: This comprehensive assessment documented striking variation in chronic disease/condition incidence. The findings provide essential evidence for prioritizing and coordinating prevention initiatives across the chronic disease/condition spectrum. Funding: US National Institutes of Health.

Indexed as

ArthritisAsthmaCancerChronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseChronic painCoronary heart diseaseDepressionDiabetesHigh cholesterolHypertensionIncidenceObesityRelative riskRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID41561640
PMCPMC12813608

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.