Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41560989›Full record

ArticleEmergency medicine international2026

A Long-Term Projection for Emergency Ambulance Services Demand in Taipei and the Related Effects by Temperature.

Ho Ting Wong, Tuan-Duong Nguyen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Emergency medicine international, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Ho Ting WongDepartment of Business Administration, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan, ntnu.edu.tw.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-0460-2346
Tuan-Duong NguyenInstitute of Graduate Studies and Leadership, Hoa Sen University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5918-9851

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Research Purpose: This study aims to project the yearly emergency ambulance service (EAS) demand for Taipei from 2015 to 2051. The effects of daily average temperature on EAS demand in 2036 and 2051 will also be projected. Research Methods: Over 140,000 EAS patient records in 2015 were obtained from the Taipei Fire Department in order to conduct the EAS demand projection. The projection was computed accounting for changes in the age-gender structure compared to the base year (2015). The relationship between daily average temperature and EAS demand in 2036 and 2051 was further explored by including and excluding age-gender structure changes. Results: Without accounting for changes in the age-gender structure, the 2051 EAS demand for age groups over 65 was consistently underestimated by 42%-90%, while that for younger age groups was overestimated by 35%-55%. In addition, the projected quadratic curve for describing the relationship between average daily temperature and EAS demand in 2051 showed a significant upward shift and increase in curvature when accounting for changes in the age-gender structure. Conclusions: With an accurate long-term projection for EAS demand in Taipei city and other regions in Taiwan, the government can design strategies for improving the EAS system in order to deal with the rapidly aging population.

Indexed as

aging populationemergency ambulance serviceslong-term projectionTaiwantemperatureweather

Identifiers

PMID41560989
PMCPMC12813861

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.