Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41559610›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2026

Total Cholesterol, High-Density Lipoprotein, and Glucose (CHG) index and risk of stroke in middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults: a nationwide prospective cohort study.

Min Wang, Jiaqian Zhu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC neurology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Min WangDepartment of Neurology, Wuhan Fourth Hospital, Wuhan, 430033, Hubei Province, China. wangm201903@163.com.
Jiaqian ZhuDepartment of Neurology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong Province, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveCurrent literature lacks reliable evidence on the association between Total Cholesterol, High-Density Lipoprotein, and Glucose (CHG) and stroke incidence. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the potential association between CHG and stroke risk in a middle-aged and elderly Chinese population.

methodsThis is a prospective cohort study, and the data is derived from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized to explore relationships between CHG and stroke incidence. To identify potential nonlinear relationships, Cox proportional hazards regression models with restricted cubic spline functions were constructed. Additionally, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were developed to explore the predictive ability of CHG for stroke.

resultsThis study included a total of 10,396 participants, with female accounting for 53.27%. Through five survey cycles from 2011 to 2020, 953 (9.17%) incident strokes occurred. After multivariate adjustment, Cox regression modeling showed that each 1-unit increase in CHG was associated with a 33.5% increased risk of stroke (HR 1.335; 95% CI 1.063–1.677). A nonlinear relationship was identified, with an inflection point at CHG = 4.556. On the left side of that point, each unit increase in CHG was associated with a statistically nonsignificant increase of 12.4% in stroke risk (HR = 1.126; 95% CI: 0.691–1.835), while on the right side of the point, it was linked to a 58.0% increase in risk (HR = 1.580; 95% CI: 1.097–2.274). Additionally, in predicting stroke risk, the AUC value for CHG (0.5737) was higher than that of TyG (0.5679), TC/HDL-c (0.5619), FPG (0.5513), HDL-c (0.5424), and TC (0.5334).

conclusionsThis study found that CHG is positively related to stroke risk and exhibits a non-linear relationship, with a turning point at 4.556. CHG may serve as an early marker for high-risk populations, and proactive monitoring and interventions, including lifestyle changes and management of other metabolic indicators for those with CHG above 4.556, may help lower stroke risk.

Indexed as

Blood GlucoseCholesterolLipoproteins, HDLStrokeAgedChinaEast Asian PeopleFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsBlood GlucoseCholesterolLipoproteins, HDLCHGLipid and glucose metabolismNon-linear associationPredicted valueStroke

Identifiers

PMID41559610
PMCPMC12903605

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.