Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41559051›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Sero-genomic evidence for occult mpox exposure in healthy Nigerian adults.

Adam Abdullahi, Ifeanyi Omah, Reshma Kassanjee, Fehintola Ige, Martin Edun, Sophia Osawe, Catherine K Koofhethile, Haruna Wisso, Ezenwa James Onyemata, Edyth Parker and 15 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Durability of the Humoral Response to MPXV Infection.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Adam AbdullahiInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria. aabdullahi@ihvnigeria.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9703-8264
Ifeanyi OmahInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Edinburgh, The King's Buildings, Edinburgh, UK.
Reshma KassanjeeCentre for Integrated Data and Epidemiological Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, Observatory, South Africa.
Fehintola IgeNigerian Institute of Medical Research, Yaba, Lagos, Nigeria.
Martin EdunInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Sophia OsaweInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Catherine K KoofhethileBotswana Harvard Health Partnership, Gaborone, Botswana.
Haruna WissoInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Ezenwa James OnyemataInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Edyth ParkerInsitute for Genomics and Global Health, Redeemer's University, Ede, Osun, Nigeria.
Onikepe FolarinInsitute for Genomics and Global Health, Redeemer's University, Ede, Osun, Nigeria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7283-2920
Aniekwe M IsaacDepartment of Parasitology and Entomology, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria.
Ummasalma Aliyu SaulawaFaculty of Natural and Applied Sciences, Umaru Musa Yar'adua University, Katsina, Nigeria.
Lourdes Ceron-GutierrezAddenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.
Evaezi OkpokoroInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Anise HappiInsitute for Genomics and Global Health, Redeemer's University, Ede, Osun, Nigeria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8959-5175
Olga SokolovaAddenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.
Rosemary AuduNigerian Institute of Medical Research, Yaba, Lagos, Nigeria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0330-5219
Sani H AliyuAddenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.
Manhattan CharuratInstitute of Human Virology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA.
Christian HappiInsitute for Genomics and Global Health, Redeemer's University, Ede, Osun, Nigeria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3056-6705
Babatunde Lawal SalakoNigerian Institute of Medical Research, Yaba, Lagos, Nigeria.
Rainer DoffingerAddenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.
Alash'le AbimikuInternational Research Centre of Excellence, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Ravindra K GuptaCambridge Institute of Therapeutic Immunology & Infectious Disease (CITIID), Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. Rkg20@cam.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9751-1808

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust (Wellcome) 218471/Z/19/Z]Wellcome Trust (Wellcome) 227167/A/23/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The 2022 multi-country mpox (formerly monkeypox) outbreak, driven by mpox virus (MPXV) Clade IIb poses renewed threat to global public health. The cessation of smallpox vaccination has created large immunologically naïve cohorts, with uncertain implications for contemporary MPXV susceptibility. To assess whether residual vaccination-derived immunity influences exposure risk, we combine serological and phylodynamic analyses. Using a six-plex Luminex assay, we measure immunoglobulin G (IgG) binding to six MPXV antigens in 176 Nigerian adults comprising of 75 healthcare workers sampled in 2021 and 101 community volunteers sampled in 2023. At baseline, 24/176 (13.6%) were MPXV seropositive, predominantly born before 1980. Magnitude-breadth analysis scores were two-fold higher in pre-1980 cohort relative to post-1980 cohort. In 153 participants with follow-up samples (median 9 months), 5/153 (3%) showed evidence of exposure, with ≥2-fold increases in magnitude-breadth scores and antigen-specific responses against ≥4/6 antigens without reported clinical illness. Antigen-specific responses were strongest to B6R (11-fold), followed by M1R and A35R, with marked individual-level heterogeneity. Complementary phylodynamic reconstruction of 105 Nigerian MPXV genomes identified sporadic transmission against frequent dead-end infections. Together, these data show that residual smallpox immunity continues to shape mpox transmission and asymptomatic exposure contributes to under-detected spread, informing surveillance and targeted vaccination strategies.

Indexed as

Monkeypox virusMpox, MonkeypoxAdultAntibodies, ViralAntigens, ViralDisease OutbreaksFemaleHumansImmunoglobulin GMaleMiddle AgedNigeriaPhylogenySeroepidemiologic StudiesSmallpox VaccineVaccinationAntibodies, ViralAntigens, ViralImmunoglobulin GSmallpox Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID41559051
PMCPMC12820282

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.