Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41558831›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of ophthalmology2026

Current burden and future projections of glaucoma in the United Kingdom.

Laura Antonia Meliante, Kelsey V Stuart, Robert N Luben, Winifred P Nolan, Anthony P Khawaja, Paul J Foster

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of ophthalmology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Laura Antonia Meliante *NIHR Moorfields Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-9377-7982
Kelsey V Stuart *NIHR Moorfields Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7353-8774
Robert N LubenNIHR Moorfields Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5088-6343
Winifred P NolanNIHR Moorfields Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9568-2232
Anthony P Khawaja *NIHR Moorfields Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.
Paul J Foster *NIHR Moorfields Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK p.foster@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4755-177X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsUp-to-date, stratified estimates of the number of individuals affected by glaucoma in the UK are lacking. This study aimed to estimate the current and future glaucoma burden in the UK population.

methodsThe most recent UK census data were used to obtain population counts stratified by age, sex and ethnicity. Age and sex-specific glaucoma prevalence estimates for individuals of European ancestry were sourced from a recent individual participant data meta-analysis of the European Eye Epidemiology Consortium. For non-European ethnic groups, prevalence was estimated by applying relative risks from a Bayesian global meta-analysis to the European baseline. Population projections from the UK's Office for National Statistics were used to estimate future disease burden.

resultsAmong 34 million UK adults aged ≥40 years, an estimated 1 019 629 individuals (95% CI 691 042 to 1 428 594) are currently living with glaucoma. Estimated age-specific case numbers increase from approximately 10 000 at ages 40-44 to nearly 173 000 in those ≥85 years. Although non-European groups represent only 5.8% of the UK population aged ≥65, they account for an estimated 8.1% of current glaucoma cases. By 2060, the number of affected individuals is projected to rise to 1.61 million (95% CI 1.11 million to 2.22 million), corresponding to a 60% rise in cases despite only a 28% population increase, driven by demographic ageing and the growth of higher-risk ethnic populations.

conclusionThe UK glaucoma burden is substantially higher than previously estimated and is expected to rise further by 2060, underscoring the need for targeted resource allocation and strategic healthcare planning.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessGlaucomaAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionFemaleForecastingHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceSex DistributionUnited KingdomEpidemiologyGlaucomaPublic health

Identifiers

PMID41558831
PMCPMC13479273

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.