Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41552681›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2025

Artificial intelligence in electrocardiogram-based prediction of heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Shunhong Zhang, Jun Jiang, Yi Luo, Guangyue Liu, Saidi Hu, Siran Wan, Chenchen Luo, Hong Li, Nian Li, LinYong Zhao

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Shunhong ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, Pangang Group General Hospital, Panzhihua, China.
Jun JiangDepartment of Cardiology, Pangang Group General Hospital, Panzhihua, China.
Yi LuoDepartment of Cardiology, Pangang Group General Hospital, Panzhihua, China.
Guangyue LiuThe 19th Batch of Chinese Medical Team in Sao Tome and Principe, Sichuan Provincial Health Commission, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Saidi HuThe 19th Batch of Chinese Medical Team in Sao Tome and Principe, Sichuan Provincial Health Commission, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Siran WanThe 19th Batch of Chinese Medical Team in Sao Tome and Principe, Sichuan Provincial Health Commission, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Chenchen LuoThe 19th Batch of Chinese Medical Team in Sao Tome and Principe, Sichuan Provincial Health Commission, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Hong LiDepartment of Ultrasound Medicine, Panzhihua Women & Enfants Healthcare Hospital, Panzhihua, China.
Nian LiThe 19th Batch of Chinese Medical Team in Sao Tome and Principe, Sichuan Provincial Health Commission, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
LinYong ZhaoThe 19th Batch of Chinese Medical Team in Sao Tome and Principe, Sichuan Provincial Health Commission, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Heart failure (HF) continues to pose a significant global health challenge, characterized by an increasing prevalence. Early identification of individuals at the highest risk of developing HF and implementing interventions can prevent and delay disease progression. The application of artificial intelligence (AI) to electrocardiograms (ECGs) presents a novel strategy for early prediction; however, the effectiveness and generalizability of this approach necessitate systematic evaluation. Objective: To systematically evaluate the performance of AI models based on ECGS in predicting HF. Methods: This study was registered on PROSPERO (CRD420251012231). Following the PRISMA guidelines, we conducted a systematic literature search across multiple databases, including PubMed, IEEE Xplore, Medline, and Embase, for studies published between 2005 and 2025. The inclusion criteria focused on AI models based on ECGs that reported performance metrics such as the AUROC (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve)/C-statistic. Meta-analysis was performed by employing a random-effects model to evaluate the efficacy of AI in predicting HF through the pooled AUROC/ C-statistic. Additionally, we conducted heterogeneity analyses using I Results: A total of five studies involving 11 cohorts and 1,728,134 participants were included in the analysis. The pooled AUROC/C-statistic was found to be 0.76 (95% CI: 0.74-0.78; Conclusions: Theoretically, artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) models demonstrate promising applicability for predicting HF; however, their effectiveness remains uncertain due to a high risk of bias and a lack of clinical validity studies. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD420251012231, PROSPERO CRD420251012231.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencedeep learningelectrocardiogram (ECG)heart failuremeta-analysispredictive modelling

Identifiers

PMID41552681
PMCPMC12808466

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.