Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41552428›Full record

ArticleOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)2026

When Few Mosquitoes Are Enough: Dengue outbreaks in non-endemic areas.

Giulio Pisaneschi, Piero Manfredi, Alberto Landi, Nico Stollenwerk, Maíra Aguiar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Mechanics of pandemics.EClinicalMedicine · 2026
    Review
  2. Letter to the editor: Autochthonous transmission patterns of dengue virus serotype 2 in Italy: evidence from outbreaks in 2024.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Giulio PisaneschiDepartment of Information Engineering, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
Piero ManfrediDepartment of Economics and Management, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
Alberto LandiDepartment of Information Engineering, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
Nico StollenwerkBCAM - Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Spain.
Maíra AguiarBCAM - Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dengue is no longer limited to tropical regions, as recent outbreaks in Southern Europe show. In 2024, nearly 150 local cases were reported in Fano, Italy, raising concerns that dengue could become established in temperate areas. In this work, we question the common belief that large outbreaks require high numbers of mosquitoes and a high basic reproduction number (

Indexed as

Climate change and healthEmerging vector-borne diseasesOne HealthPublic health preparednessStochastic modeling

Identifiers

PMID41552428
PMCPMC12811639

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.