Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41551944›Full record

ArticleTobacco induced diseases2026

Joinpoint trend analysis of prevalence of combustible and non-combustible tobacco product use by adults in the United States, using cross-sectional data from NHIS 2015-2023.

Yoonseo Mok, K Michael Cummings, Colin W Randol, Avery Roberson, David T Levy, Rafael Meza

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco induced diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yoonseo MokDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, United States.
K Michael CummingsDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, United States.
Colin W RandolDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, United States.
Avery RobersonDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, United States.
David T LevyDepartment of Oncology, Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington DC, United States.
Rafael MezaPopulation Health Sciences, British Columbia Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, Canada.

Funding

Research Project 3: Modeling the Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Polytobacco Use and Associated Health DisparitiesU54CA229974 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI David Mendez Emilien · 2018 to 2026
$39.2M
Vaporized Nicotine Product Initiation Among Youth in the US, Canada, and England: Methods to Predict Uptake and Policy EfficacyP01CA200512 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI FONG, GEOFFREY T · 2016 to 2025
$25.3M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA200512NCI NIH HHS U54 CA229974
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWe describe population-level trends in the prevalence of any tobacco use, combustible and non-combustible tobacco use in US adults, by age and sex, from 2015 to 2023.

methodsCross-sectional data collected in the annual US National Health Interview Surveys (NHIS) conducted between 2015 and 2023 were used to characterize trends in adult current prevalence of any tobacco use, combustible and non-combustible tobacco product use. All NHIS participants with valid data on tobacco use, age and sex were included in the analyses. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) from 2015 to 2023 and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) overall for each outcome and by different age groups (18-24, 25-34, 35-54, and ≥55 years) and for males and females. All statistical tests were two tailed and based on a p<0.05 significance level.

resultsBetween 2015 and 2023 any tobacco use decreased at a statistically non-significant APC rate of -1.0% (95% CI: -2.1-0.12) across all age and sex groups combined. Overall, combustible tobacco decreased at a statistically significant APC rate of -3.6% (95% CI -4.6 - -2.6), with differences by age group (18-24: -12.2%, 95% CI: -14.6 - -9.7; 25-34: -5.2%, 95% CI: -6.6 - -3.8; 35-54: -2.5%, 95% CI: -4.2 - -0.9; ≥55: -1.2%, 95% CI: -1.8 - -0.5). Non-combustible tobacco product prevalence increased at a statistically significant APC of 8.9% (95% CI: 6.5-15.8) after 2017, with increases in all age groups and both sexes. The decrease in combustible tobacco was due to decreasing cigarette use while the increase in non-combustible tobacco products after 2017 was due to increases in electronic cigarette (EC) use.

conclusionsTobacco products use by US adults shifted between 2015 and 2023, with combustible use decreasing, particularly in young adults, while non-combustible use increased.

Indexed as

cigaretteselectronic cigarettessmokeless tobaccotime trendstobacco prevalence

Identifiers

PMID41551944
PMCPMC12811843

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.