Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41543519›Full record

ArticleeLife2026

Stratification of viral shedding patterns in saliva of COVID-19 patients.

Hyeongki Park, Yoshimura Raiki, Shoya Iwanami, Kwangsu Kim, Keisuke Ejima, Naotoshi Nakamura, Kazuyuki Aihara, Yoshitsugu Miyazaki, Takashi Umeyama, Ken Miyazawa and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Hyeongki Parkinterdisciplinary Biology Laboratory (iBLab), Division of Natural Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-6507-0731
Yoshimura Raikiinterdisciplinary Biology Laboratory (iBLab), Division of Natural Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.
Shoya Iwanamiinterdisciplinary Biology Laboratory (iBLab), Division of Natural Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.
Kwangsu Kiminterdisciplinary Biology Laboratory (iBLab), Division of Natural Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.
Keisuke EjimaLee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Naotoshi Nakamurainterdisciplinary Biology Laboratory (iBLab), Division of Natural Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4798-3660
Kazuyuki AiharaInternational Research Center for Neurointelligence, The University of Tokyo Institutes for Advanced Study, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4602-9816
Yoshitsugu MiyazakiDepartment of Chemotherapy and Mycoses, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Takashi UmeyamaDepartment of Chemotherapy and Mycoses, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Ken MiyazawaDepartment of Chemotherapy and Mycoses, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Takeshi MoritaResearch Center for Drug and Vaccine Development, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Koichi WatashiResearch Center for Drug and Vaccine Development, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Christopher B BrookeDepartment of Microbiology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6815-1193
Ruian KeTheoretical Biology and Biophysics, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States.
Shingo Iwami *interdisciplinary Biology Laboratory (iBLab), Division of Natural Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1780-350X
Taiga Miyazaki *Division of Respirology, Rheumatology, Infectious Diseases, and Neurology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Japan.

Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 19gm1310002Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 22fk0108509Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 22fk0210094Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 22fk0310504h0501Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 22fk0410052Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 22wm0425011s0302Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 23fk0108684Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 23fk0108685Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 24fk0210154h0001Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development JP22dm0307009Japan Science and Technology Agency JPMJCR25Q6Japan Science and Technology Agency JST-Mirai Program JPMJMI22G1Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 22H05215Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 22K19829Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 23H03497JIHS Intramural Research Fund 24 rin 002Moonshot Research and Development Program JPMJMS2021Moonshot Research and Development Program JPMJMS2025National Research Foundation of Korea 2022R1C1C2003637
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Living with COVID-19 requires continued vigilance against the spread and emergence of variants of concern (VOCs). Rapid and accurate saliva diagnostic testing, alongside basic public health responses, is a viable option contributing to effective transmission control. Nevertheless, our knowledge regarding the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection in saliva is not as advanced as our understanding of the respiratory tract. Here, we analyzed longitudinal viral load data of SARS-CoV-2 in saliva samples from 144 patients with mild COVID-19 (a combination of our collected data and published data). Using a mathematical model, we quantified individual-level viral dynamics and stratified them into three groups using a clustering approach. Notably, the three groups exhibited distinct differences in viral RNA detection durations: 11.5 days (95% CI: 10.6-12.4), 17.4 days (16.6-18.2), and 30.0 days (28.1-31.8), respectively. Surprisingly, this stratified grouping remained unexplained despite our analysis of 47 types of clinical data, including basic demographic information, clinical symptoms, results of blood tests, and vital signs. Additionally, we quantified the expression levels of 92 micro-RNAs in a subset of saliva samples, but these also failed to explain the observed stratification, although the mir-1846 level may have been weakly correlated with peak viral load. Our study provides insights into SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics in saliva, highlighting the challenges in predicting the duration of viral RNA detection without indicators that directly reflect an individual's immune response, such as antibody induction. Given the significant individual heterogeneity in the kinetics of saliva viral shedding, identifying biomarker(s) for viral shedding patterns will be crucial for improving public health interventions in the era of living with COVID-19.

Indexed as

COVID-19SalivaSARS-CoV-2Virus SheddingAdultAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalRNA, ViralViral LoadRNA, Viralinfectious diseasemachine learningmathematical modelmicrobiologySARS-CoV-2viral dynamicsviruses

Identifiers

PMID41543519
PMCPMC12810952

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.