Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41541900›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2026

Maternal RSV vaccination to protect infants in Brazil: a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis for incorporation into the National Immunisation Program.

Sophia Aguiar Monteiro Borges, Erick Ohanesian Polli, Ana Carolina Nonato, Natacha Cerchiari, Stéphane Verguet, Ana Marli Christovam Sartori, Patrícia Coelho de Soárez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sophia Aguiar Monteiro BorgesDepartamento de Medicina Preventiva, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Erick Ohanesian PolliDepartamento de Medicina Preventiva, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Ana Carolina NonatoDepartamento de Medicina Preventiva, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Natacha CerchiariDepartamento de Medicina Preventiva, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Stéphane VerguetHarvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
Ana Marli Christovam SartoriDepartamento de Infectologia e Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Patrícia Coelho de SoárezDepartamento de Medicina Preventiva, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: In Brazil, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the primary cause of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in children under two years of age. Maternal immunization with the bivalent RSV prefusion F protein vaccine (RSVpreF) has demonstrated high efficacy in protecting infants during their first 6 months of life against RSV-LRTI. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of implementing maternal RSV immunization in Brazil. Methods: We utilised a decision tree model, following a birth cohort during their first year of life. The model compared two strategies: maternal vaccination and no vaccination, from both healthcare system and societal perspectives. Secondary data from Brazilian Health Information Systems, administrative databases and international literature were used. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) expressed as incremental cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted, in 2023 USD. We applied a cost-effectiveness threshold of 8000 USD (40,000 BRL) per DALY based on Brazilian guidelines. Findings: Introduction of RSV vaccination for pregnant women at 50% coverage would prevent around 37,000 RSV cases annually, including 9400 hospitalizations and 28,000 outpatient visits. The program would avert 80 deaths and 1660 DALYs, with an incremental cost of $49,200,000 USD from the healthcare system perspective (ICER $29,700 per DALY averted) and $48,800,000 USD from the societal perspective (ICER $29,200 per DALY averted). These ICERs exceed the acceptable cost-effectiveness Brazilian threshold. To be considered cost-effective, the vaccine dose price would need to be around $12. In sensitivity analyses, vaccine price and efficacy were the most influential parameters, as testing their uncertainty ranges resulted in the largest changes (i.e., the widest range) in the ICER. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the probability that the maternal RSV immunization program is cost-effective at the Brazilian threshold of $8000 per DALY averted was 0% from the healthcare system perspective and 6% from the societal perspective. Interpretation: Our findings indicate maternal RSV immunization could substantially reduce disease burden but would require significant price reduction to meet Brazil's cost-effectiveness threshold. Funding: São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) and Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq).

Indexed as

Cost-effectiveness analysisMaternal immunizationRespiratory syncytial virusVaccine

Identifiers

PMID41541900
PMCPMC12800478

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.