Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41541766›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2025

Waist-to-height ratio and coronary artery calcium incidence: the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil).

Thiago Bosco Mendes, Giuliano Generoso, Ronaldo C Fabiano, Bruno Halpern, Carolina Castro Porto Silva Janovsky, Carlos Manuel Romero, Raul D Santos, Isabela Bensenor, Paulo Andrade Lotufo, Marcio Sommer Bittencourt

Abstract read
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Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Thiago Bosco MendesDivision of Endocrinology, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, USA.
Giuliano GenerosoCenter for Clinical and Epidemiological Research, University of São Paulo University Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.
Ronaldo C FabianoDepartment of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
Bruno HalpernObesity Center, 9 de Julho Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.
Carolina Castro Porto Silva JanovskyCenter for Clinical and Epidemiological Research, University of São Paulo University Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.
Carlos Manuel RomeroDivision of Cardiology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, USA.
Raul D SantosHeart Institute (InCor), University of Sao Paulo Medical School Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.
Isabela BensenorCenter for Clinical and Epidemiological Research, University of São Paulo University Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.
Paulo Andrade LotufoCenter for Clinical and Epidemiological Research, University of São Paulo University Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.
Marcio Sommer BittencourtCenter for Clinical and Epidemiological Research, University of São Paulo University Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Obesity is a cardiovascular risk factor and coronary artery calcium (CAC) is frequently used to assess coronary atherosclerosis burden. The purpose of this study was to evaluate body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) as predictors of CAC incidence. Methods: We analyzed ELSA-Brasil cohort participants with no cardiovascular disease who had an initial CAC score of zero and repeated the test. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess BMI, WC, and WHtR as predictors of CAC incidence. Findings: A total of 2721 participants (mean age 48.1 ± 7.56 years, 62.6% females) self-reported as White (57%), Brown/mixed (22.8%), Black (15.4%), Asian (4%) or Native/Indigenous (0.9%) were analyzed. CAC incidence after a mean of 5.24 years was 15.5% (confidence interval [CI] 95%: 14.2-17%). In unadjusted analysis, BMI, WC, and WHtR were positively associated with CAC incidence with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.19 (CI 95%: 1.08-1.31), 1.37 (CI 95% 1.23-1.52) and 1.39 (CI 95%: 1.25-1.54) per standard deviation, respectively. In the fully adjusted model, WHtR was the only independent predictor of CAC incidence, OR: 1.18 (CI 95% 1.03-1.35) per standard deviation. This effect was mainly driven by individuals with BMI <30 kg/m Interpretation: WHtR was the only independent anthropometric measure predictor of atherosclerosis incidence assessed by coronary artery calcium score. This effect is particularly relevant in individuals with BMI <30 kg/m Funding: National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), Brazil.

Indexed as

BMIBody mass indexCoronary artery calciumObesitySubclinical atherosclerosisWaist circumferenceWaist-to-height ratioWHtR

Identifiers

PMID41541766
PMCPMC12800998

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