Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41538648›Full record

ArticleRevista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology2026

Temporal trends in abusive alcohol consumption and their projections for 2030 in Brazilian capitals.

Deborah Carvalho Malta, Paula Carvalho de Freitas, Crizian Saar Gomes, Guilherme Augusto Veloso, Regina Tomie Ivata Bernal, Alanna Gomes da Silva, Filipe Malta Santos, Sther Luna Abras Dos Santos, Paulo Ferrinho

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Deborah Carvalho MaltaUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais, School of Nursing - Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8214-5734
Paula Carvalho de FreitasMinistério da Saúde, Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde e Ambiente - Brasília (DF), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3737-2962
Crizian Saar GomesUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais, School of Medicine - Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6586-4561
Guilherme Augusto VelosoUniversidade Federal Fluminense - Niterói (RJ), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5348-3793
Regina Tomie Ivata BernalUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais, School of Nursing - Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7917-3857
Alanna Gomes da SilvaUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais, School of Nursing - Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2587-5658
Filipe Malta SantosFaculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais - Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0522-0374
Sther Luna Abras Dos SantosUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais, School of Nursing - Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-4524-0687
Paulo FerrinhoUniversidade Nova de Lisboa, Institute of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine - Lisboa, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3722-0803

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo analyze the temporal trend of the prevalence of abusive alcohol consumption in the Brazilian adult population residing in the country's capitals between 2006 and 2023, and to estimate projections for 2030.

methodsTime-series study using data from the Surveillance System for Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Survey. Abusive alcohol consumption was defined as the intake of five or more drinks for men and four or more for women in a short period of time. The joinpoint regression model was used to identify trends, and exponential smoothing was applied to generate projections up to 2030.

resultsWe observed an increasing trend in abusive alcohol consumption in the total population (from 15.6% in 2006 to 20.8% in 2023) and among women, across most age groups - except those aged 18-24 and 45-54 years -, among individuals with 12 or more years of education, and among racial groups identified as white, Black, and mixed-race. Among women, we observed an increase in 23 capitals. Considering the trends between 2015 and 2023, the 10% reduction target by 2030 is unlikely to be achieved.

conclusionThe increase in alcohol consumption among women and the failure to meet the reduction target highlight the need to advance policies and programs to curb alcohol consumption.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAlcoholismAdolescentAdultBrazilFemaleForecastingHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceTime FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID41538648
PMCPMC12799197

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.