Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41537914›Full record

ArticleNeurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology2026

Hemoglobin glycation index predicts mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage: a nonlinear threshold effect.

Shuwen Sun, Xin Huang, Xiaobin Fei, Fuhua Ye, Kai Gong

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Article in Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Rethinking HGI thresholds.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
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5 · Who and what money

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5 authors.

Shuwen SunDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Jiangyin hospital of Nantong University, 214400, Nantong, Jiangyin, China. sunshuwen0810@sina.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2492-1483
Xin HuangDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Jiangyin hospital of Nantong University, 214400, Nantong, Jiangyin, China.
Xiaobin FeiDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Jiangyin hospital of Nantong University, 214400, Nantong, Jiangyin, China.
Fuhua YeDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Jiangyin hospital of Nantong University, 214400, Nantong, Jiangyin, China.
Kai GongDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Jiangyin hospital of Nantong University, 214400, Nantong, Jiangyin, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Hemoglobin Glycation Index (HGI), integrating acute and chronic glycemic dysregulation, may reflect metabolic state in critical illness. We aimed to evaluate whether HGI predicts 30-day mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients and identify potential threshold effects.

methodsWe analyzed 1351 ICH patients from the MIMIC-IV database. HGI was calculated as the difference between observed and predicted hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), derived from admission glucose. Patients were stratified into HGI quartiles (Q1-Q4). The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, assessed using Cox regression models adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and severity scores. Nonlinear relationships were evaluated with restricted cubic splines and threshold effect analysis.

resultsThe cohort exhibited a nonlinear, L-shaped association between HGI and mortality (P for nonlinearity = 0.0008). Compared to Q4 (highest HGI), Q1 (lowest HGI) had a 53% higher mortality risk (adjusted HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.32-0.68, P < 0.001). A threshold effect was identified at HGI = 0.78: below this value, each unit increase in HGI reduced mortality by 24% (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.68-0.85, P < 0.001), while no significant association existed above it (HR 1.11, P = 0.319). Subgroup analyses confirmed robustness across age, diabetes status, and neurological severity, with a pronounced protective effect in males (P for interaction = 0.038).

conclusionsLow HGI independently predicts increased 30-day mortality in ICH, with a critical threshold at 0.78. HGI may represent a potential biomarker for metabolic risk stratification in neurocritical care, offering insights beyond conventional glycemic metrics.

Indexed as

Cerebral HemorrhageGlycated HemoglobinAgedAged, 80 and overBlood GlucoseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNonlinear DynamicsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisBlood GlucoseGlycated HemoglobinGlycemic controlHemoglobin glycation indexIntracerebral hemorrhageMIMIC-IV databaseMortality

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.