Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41532443›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of surgery (London, England)2026

Efficacy and cost-effectiveness of extending risk-stratified colorectal cancer screening: evidence from China's first province-wide program.

Juan Zhu, Bingjie Jiang, Chen Zhu, Ruyi Xia, Lili Song, Weimiao Wu, Yi Lou, Lingbin Du

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of surgery (London, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Juan ZhuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China.
Bingjie JiangSchool of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Chen ZhuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China.
Ruyi XiaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, China.
Lili SongSchool of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Weimiao WuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China.
Yi LouDepartment of Research, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China.
Lingbin DuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1992-7784

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina accounts for nearly 30% of global colorectal cancer (CRC) cases but has only 3% screening coverage, underscoring the urgent need to expand coverage. We evaluated the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of extending risk-stratified CRC screening based on the first province-wide, full-coverage initiative in China (2020-2024).

methodsThis population-based study covered 17 780 462 average-risk residents aged 50-74. Those participants were stratified using the Revised Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening Score (APCS) and fecal immunochemical testing (FIT). High-risk participants (APCS ≥5 or FIT-positive) were referred for colonoscopy. A health care system perspective Markov model simulated a cohort of 100 000 individuals to compare screening strategies by initiation age and frequency. Outcomes included screening yield (participation, detection, and death averted), resource utilization (colonoscopies, costs per lesion detected, and number needed to screen), and cost-effectiveness. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), benchmarked against three times per capita GDP (USD $ 53 235 in 2023) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed.

resultsAmong 10 364 955 eligible participants, 1 582 606 (15.27%) were high-risk, with 38.92% colonoscopy compliance. Screening detected 59 954 advanced adenomas (AAs) and 5708 CRCs, with 11 and 108 colonoscopies needed per lesion, respectively. The cost per AA and CRC detected was $ 1588 and $ 16 684. All screening strategies were cost-effective regardless of the starting age or frequency, yielding ICERs of $ 6718- $ 21 177 per QALY. Annual screening starting at 40-44 years achieved optimal effectiveness (19 955 QALYs gained, 1126 CRC deaths averted per 100 000).

conclusionThis first province-wide, full-coverage screening initiative demonstrates the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of extending risk-based CRC screening in resource-rich regions of China, supporting expanded coverage and informing policy decisions for CRC prevention in similar settings.

Indexed as

colorectal cancercost-effectivenessfecal immunochemical testrisk-based screeningscreening

Identifiers

PMID41532443
PMCPMC13105552

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.