Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41526366›Full record

Articlenpj aging2026

Frailty-related plasma metabolomic signatures predict long-term mortality risk and implicate systemic aging pathways: evidence from a prospective cohort study.

Xiru Zhang, Xin Feng, Wenchao Liu, Ruiyan Liu, Qingmei Huang, Peidong Zhang, Zhihao Li, Xifeng Li, Chen Mao, Chuanzhi Duan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in npj aging, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xiru Zhang *Neurosurgery Center, Department of Cerebrovascular Surgery, The Engineering Technology Research Center of Education Ministry of China on Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebrovascular Disease, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xin Feng *Neurosurgery Center, Department of Cerebrovascular Surgery, The Engineering Technology Research Center of Education Ministry of China on Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebrovascular Disease, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Wenchao LiuNeurosurgery Center, Department of Cerebrovascular Surgery, The Engineering Technology Research Center of Education Ministry of China on Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebrovascular Disease, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Ruiyan LiuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Qingmei HuangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Peidong ZhangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Institute of Brain Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Zhihao LiDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xifeng LiNeurosurgery Center, Department of Cerebrovascular Surgery, The Engineering Technology Research Center of Education Ministry of China on Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebrovascular Disease, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Chen MaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. maochen9@smu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6537-6215
Chuanzhi DuanNeurosurgery Center, Department of Cerebrovascular Surgery, The Engineering Technology Research Center of Education Ministry of China on Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebrovascular Disease, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. doctor_duanzj@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2025-8637

Funding

National Heath Commission Capacity Building and Continuing Education Center GWJJ2022100102National Natural Science Foundation of China 82201427National Natural Science Foundation of China 82271298National Natural Science Foundation of China 82304211National Natural Science Foundation of China 82425052
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome associated with increased mortality, yet its underlying biological mechanisms and potential value for early risk stratification remain inadequately understood. In this large prospective cohort of more than 260,000 UK Biobank participants with plasma metabolomic profiling, we identified and validated metabolomic signatures of physical frailty and a 49-item frailty index using 50-times repeated 10-fold cross-validated elastic-net regression. The signatures demonstrated strong internal stability and geographic reproducibility and reflected coordinated alterations across lipid, amino acid, energy, and inflammatory pathways. Higher signature levels were significantly associated with increased risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality, including cancer, cardiovascular, respiratory, and digestive deaths. Individuals in the highest-risk tertile had more than 2.5-fold higher risks of cardiovascular, respiratory, and digestive mortality. At age 60, individuals above the median signature level were estimated to have 4.1 fewer years of life expectancy. Mediation analyses indicated that the metabolomic signatures statistically explained up to 35% of the observed frailty-mortality association. Associations were stronger among younger individuals and differed by sex and BMI. These findings suggest that frailty-related plasma metabolomic signatures capture systemic metabolic correlates of biological aging and may support early mortality risk prediction and personalized prevention strategies in aging populations.

Identifiers

PMID41526366
PMCPMC12894700

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.