Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41526165›Full record

Trial reportJournal for immunotherapy of cancer2026

Serum cytokines predict response and survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving chemoradiotherapy combined with anti-PD-1 antibody: analyses of two phase II clinical trials.

BaoQing Chen, Junying Chen, Sifen Wang, Kunhao Bai, Zimeng Li, Biqi Chen, Ruixi Wang, Xingyuan Cheng, Yilu Gao, Chen Yi and 7 more

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase II
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal for immunotherapy of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

BaoQing Chen *Department of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9807-7425
Junying Chen *Department of Thoracic Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7732-4319
Sifen Wang *Department of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Kunhao Bai *Department of Endoscopy, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Zimeng LiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Biqi ChenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-9388-2820
Ruixi WangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xingyuan ChengDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yilu GaoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Chen YiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Peiying CenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Shuangjiang LiDepartment of Endoscopy, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Mihnea P DragomirInstitute of Pathology, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.
Yujia ZhuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Qiaoqiao LiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China ximian@sysucc.org.cn yanghong@sysucc.org.cn liqq@sysucc.org.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6299-4966
Hong YangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China ximian@sysucc.org.cn yanghong@sysucc.org.cn liqq@sysucc.org.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6007-9086
Mian XiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Reasearch Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China ximian@sysucc.org.cn yanghong@sysucc.org.cn liqq@sysucc.org.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8088-0970

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeChemoradiotherapy (CRT) combined with anti-PD-1 for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has shown promising efficacy but lack the predictive biomarkers to identify patients who could benefit from this therapy. The predictive value of serum cytokines in ESCC patients remains unclear. We aimed to identify cytokine-based biomarkers for treatment response and survival in this setting. EXPERIMENTAL

designExploratory analyses were conducted on 81 ESCC patients from two phase II trials treated with CRT plus toripalimab, with validation in an independent prospective cohort (n=61). Nineteen serum cytokines were assessed at baseline, during, and post-CRT plus anti-PD-1 antibody. A cytokine-based risk score model (CYTOscore) was constructed. Multi-omics profiling including RNA-seq, WES, and spatial transcriptomics were performed to explore potential differences in tumor microenvironments.

resultsCox analyses identified Interleukin-8 (IL-8), C-C motif chemokine ligand 3 (CCL3), and C-C motif chemokine ligand 4 (CCL4) as potential biomarkers and were used to constructed the CYTOscore. Patients stratified by baseline CYTOscore showed significantly longer OS (HR, 0.31; 95%CI, 0.16-0.62; p= 0.00045) and PFS (HR, 0.33; 95%CI, 0.17-0.62; p= 0.00036) in the low-risk group, which also had higher complete response (CR) rates (66% vs 35%, p=0.014). These finding were next validated in the external cohort, with the low-risk group demonstrating higher CR rates (66% vs 27%, p=0.039) and longer OS (HR 0.30, 95% CI 0.09-0.99, p=0.045). A nomogram incorporating baseline CYTOscore and clinical characteristics showed promising predictive accuracy in 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS (AUC=0.77, 0.78, and 0.76). Multi-omics analysis revealed enriched interferon-γ/α signaling in B cells within low-risk patients.

conclusionsThe CYTOscore based on IL-8, CCL3, and CCL4 effectively predicts treatment response and survival in ESCC patients receiving CRT plus anti-PD-1 antibody.

Indexed as

ChemoradiotherapyCytokinesEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsAgedBiomarkers, TumorFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisBiomarkers, TumorCytokinesImmune Checkpoint Inhibitorsanti-PD-1CCL3CCL4CRTCytokineESCCIL-8

Identifiers

PMID41526165
PMCPMC12815036

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.