Observational studyJournal of public health (Oxford, England)2026
Dynamics of public health messaging and healthcare activity in children during the 2022 iGAS surge: an observational study in England.
Observational study in Journal of public health (Oxford, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Group A Streptococcus molecular point of care testing in a paediatric emergency department.The Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundPublic health messaging during infectious disease outbreaks can influence healthcare demand. The winter 2022 surge in Group A Streptococcus (GAS) in England provided an opportunity to examine the relationship between communications and National Health Service (NHS) activity, informing future strategies for resilience and risk communication.
methodsThis observational study analysed UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) invasive GAS (iGAS) notifications, NHS 111, General Practice (GP), and emergency department (ED) surveillance data, prescription records, internet searches, and media reports. Temporal associations were assessed descriptively, with weekly differences from winter averages calculated.
resultsFollowing initial media reports and UKHSA messaging, internet search interest rose sharply (4%-63%). In the subsequent week, there were increases in NHS 111 contacts (fevers +256%, sore throats +953%), acute respiratory infection ED visits (+155%), GP pharyngitis consultations (+356%), and community penicillin prescriptions (+134%) compared to winter averages. Compared to the previous week, consultations for scarlet fever declined.
conclusionsThis is the first study to link outbreak communications with system-wide NHS activity in real time. Messaging likely prompted appropriate care-seeking, but the rapid return to baseline and the low predictive value of consultations for iGAS suggest that many were for self-limiting illness. Findings highlight the need for tailored messaging, interdisciplinary collaboration, and scalable healthcare capacity during outbreaks.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.