ArticleArchives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique2026
Association of neighborhood economic trajectories and risk of mortality among older adults.
Article in Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundLower neighborhood socioeconomic status (SES) and decline in neighborhood SES have been linked to detrimental health outcomes, such as cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and mortality. However, few studies have investigated distinct types of neighborhood economic trajectories in relation to mortality. We examined the association between the recently developed multidimensional measure of neighborhood trajectories and mortality in older adults enrolled in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study (NIH-AARP).
methodsNeighborhoods were classified into five groups based on economic change patterns from 2000 to 2016 using American Community Survey data: Stability, Growth, Displacement, Abandonment, and Poverty Concentration. Mortality outcomes—including all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality—were identified using ICD-10 Causes of Death Recodes. We applied Cox proportional hazards regression to analyze neighborhood trajectories and mortality outcomes in 452,624 participants.
resultsAmong 452,624 participants, (mean age = 61.5 (5.4) years) poverty concentration (HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.06–1.08), abandonment (HR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.09–1.19), and displacement (HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.00–1.05) were significantly associated with all-cause mortality. Similarly, poverty concentration (HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.07–1.11), abandonment (HR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.17–1.37), and displacement (HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02–1.11) were significantly associated with CVD mortality. No significant associations were found with cancer mortality (p > 0.05).
conclusionsOur findings suggested a link between long-term neighborhood trajectories and mortality outcomes, highlighted the importance of considering the multidimensionality in neighborhood SES, and emphasized the need for area-level interventions to mitigate health disparities in vulnerable communities.
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