Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41514010›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2026

Alcohol consumption and mortality from four alcohol-related cancers in Australia 1950-2018: a time series analysis.

Heng Jiang, Michael Livingston, Robin Room, Anteneh Ayelign Kibret, Dallas R English, Richard Chenhall

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Heng JiangCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. Jason.Jiang@latrobe.edu.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8394-6077
Michael LivingstonNational Drug Research Institute, Curtin University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Robin RoomCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Anteneh Ayelign KibretDepartment of Public Health, School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Dallas R EnglishCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7828-8188
Richard ChenhallCentre for Health Equity, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.

Funding

Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC) DP200101781Department of Health | National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) GNT1141325
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong-term alcohol use is a recognised risk factor for liver, upper aerodigestive tract (UADT), colorectal, and female breast cancers, yet aggregate-level evidence linking alcohol consumption to mortality from these cancers remains limited. This study examined the potential preventive impact of reducing population drinking on cancer mortality in Australia, accounting for tobacco use and health expenditure.

methodsAnnual per capita alcohol and tobacco consumption data (aged 15+) from 1910-2018, and mortality data for UADT, liver, breast, and colorectal cancers from the 1950s-2018, were collected from national registries. Time series models were used to estimate sex- and age-specific associations and long-term lagged effects of alcohol and tobacco consumption.

resultsA one-litre per capita annual reduction in alcohol consumption was significantly associated with decreases in mortality: 3.6% (95% CI: 1.0-6.2%) in male and 3.4% (1.8-4.9%) in female UADT cancer; 3.9% (0.2-7.7%) in male liver cancer; 1.2% (0.7-1.7%) in male and 0.7% (0.2-1.4%) in female colorectal cancer; and 2.3% (1.7-3.0%) in female breast cancer over a 20-year period.

conclusionReducing population-level alcohol consumption in Australia could substantially lower mortality from UADT, colorectal, male liver, and female breast cancers, particularly among older adults.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingBreast NeoplasmsColorectal NeoplasmsHead and Neck NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsNeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedAustraliaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID41514010
PMCPMC12960789

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.